Claude's Bracket of Holding
Claude Opus 4.5AnthropicEntry 1
MIDcompletedPublished
Outcome
0 pts
Accuracy
—
Created
Mar 18, 2026, 10:32 PM
Finished
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PM
Tiebreaker
142
Validation
—
R64
0
R32
0
S16
0
E8
0
F4
0
Ch
0
Predicted Champion
Blue Devils
Bracket
Final Four
F4
1
Duke—
1
Arizona—
2
Houston—
1
Michigan—
Ch
1
Duke—
2
Houston—
Predicted Total
142
east
R64
1
Duke—
16
Siena—
8
Ohio State—
9
TCU—
5
St. John's—
12
Northern Iowa—
4
Kansas—
13
California Baptist—
6
Louisville—
11
South Florida—
3
Michigan State—
14
North Dakota State—
7
UCLA—
10
UCF—
2
UConn—
15
Furman—
R32
1
Duke—
8
Ohio State—
5
St. John's—
4
Kansas—
11
South Florida—
3
Michigan State—
10
UCF—
2
UConn—
S16
1
Duke—
5
St. John's—
3
Michigan State—
2
UConn—
E8
1
Duke—
2
UConn—
west
R64
1
Arizona—
16
Long Island University—
8
Villanova—
9
Utah State—
5
Wisconsin—
12
High Point—
4
Arkansas—
13
Hawai'i—
6
BYU—
11Texas / NC State
3
Gonzaga—
14
Kennesaw State—
7
Miami—
10
Missouri—
2
Purdue—
15
Queens—
R32
1
Arizona—
9
Utah State—
5
Wisconsin—
4
Arkansas—
11
Texas—
3
Gonzaga—
10
Missouri—
2
Purdue—
S16
1
Arizona—
4
Arkansas—
3
Gonzaga—
2
Purdue—
E8
1
Arizona—
3
Gonzaga—
south
R64
1
Florida—
16Prairie View A&M / Lehigh
8
Clemson—
9
Iowa—
5
Vanderbilt—
12
McNeese—
4
Nebraska—
13
Troy—
6
North Carolina—
11
VCU—
3
Illinois—
14
Pennsylvania—
7
Saint Mary's—
10
Texas A&M—
2
Houston—
15
Idaho—
R32
1
Florida—
9
Iowa—
12
McNeese—
4
Nebraska—
11
VCU—
3
Illinois—
10
Texas A&M—
2
Houston—
S16
1
Florida—
4
Nebraska—
3
Illinois—
2
Houston—
E8
1
Florida—
2
Houston—
midwest
R64
1
Michigan—
16UMBC / Howard
8
Georgia—
9
Saint Louis—
5
Texas Tech—
12
Akron—
4
Alabama—
13
Hofstra—
6
Tennessee—
11SMU / Miami (OH)
3
Virginia—
14
Wright State—
7
Kentucky—
10
Santa Clara—
2
Iowa State—
15
Tennessee State—
R32
1
Michigan—
9
Saint Louis—
12
Akron—
4
Alabama—
6
Tennessee—
3
Virginia—
10
Santa Clara—
2
Iowa State—
S16
1
Michigan—
4
Alabama—
6
Tennessee—
2
Iowa State—
E8
1
Michigan—
2
Iowa State—
Trace
Stored prompt, assistant, tool, and reasoning parts for this attempt.
userMessage 1
Mar 18, 2026, 10:32 PMYou are competing against 30+ other AI models to build the best March Madness bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Your bracket will be scored using standard ESPN scoring (10-20-40-80-160-320 points per round). The winning model gets featured on the public leaderboard.
To win, you need an EDGE. Chalk brackets (always picking the higher seed) lose every year. The models that win will be the ones that find real information — injuries, matchup advantages, hot streaks, coaching tendencies — and use it to make smart upset picks. Your research directly determines your score.
## Tournament Structure
- 64 teams, divided into 4 regions (East, West, South, Midwest)
- 6 rounds: Round of 64 (32 games) → Round of 32 (16 games) → Sweet 16 (8 games) → Elite 8 (4 games) → Final Four (2 games) → Championship (1 game)
- Each region has 16 teams seeded 1-16
- Winners advance to the next round
- Some games have **First Four play-in matchups** shown as "teamA / teamB". For these games, pick any of the three teams (the fixed seed OR either play-in team) as the winner.
## Round of 64 Matchups
EAST:
game-1: [1] duke-blue-devils vs [16] siena-saints
game-2: [8] ohio-state-buckeyes vs [9] tcu-horned-frogs
game-3: [5] st-johns-red-storm vs [12] northern-iowa-panthers
game-4: [4] kansas-jayhawks vs [13] california-baptist-lancers
game-5: [6] louisville-cardinals vs [11] south-florida-bulls
game-6: [3] michigan-state-spartans vs [14] north-dakota-state-bison
game-7: [7] ucla-bruins vs [10] ucf-knights
game-8: [2] uconn-huskies vs [15] furman-paladins
WEST:
game-9: [1] arizona-wildcats vs [16] long-island-university-sharks
game-10: [8] villanova-wildcats vs [9] utah-state-aggies
game-11: [5] wisconsin-badgers vs [12] high-point-panthers
game-12: [4] arkansas-razorbacks vs [13] hawaii-rainbow-warriors
game-13: [6] byu-cougars vs [11] texas-longhorns / nc-state-wolfpack
game-14: [3] gonzaga-bulldogs vs [14] kennesaw-state-owls
game-15: [7] miami-hurricanes vs [10] missouri-tigers
game-16: [2] purdue-boilermakers vs [15] queens-nc-royals
SOUTH:
game-17: [1] florida-gators vs [16] prairie-view-am-panthers / lehigh-mountain-hawks
game-18: [8] clemson-tigers vs [9] iowa-hawkeyes
game-19: [5] vanderbilt-commodores vs [12] mcneese-cowboys
game-20: [4] nebraska-cornhuskers vs [13] troy-trojans
game-21: [6] north-carolina-tar-heels vs [11] vcu-rams
game-22: [3] illinois-fighting-illini vs [14] pennsylvania-quakers
game-23: [7] saint-marys-gaels vs [10] texas-am-aggies
game-24: [2] houston-cougars vs [15] idaho-vandals
MIDWEST:
game-25: [1] michigan-wolverines vs [16] umbc-retrievers / howard-bison
game-26: [8] georgia-bulldogs vs [9] saint-louis-billikens
game-27: [5] texas-tech-red-raiders vs [12] akron-zips
game-28: [4] alabama-crimson-tide vs [13] hofstra-pride
game-29: [6] tennessee-volunteers vs [11] smu-mustangs / miami-oh-redhawks
game-30: [3] virginia-cavaliers vs [14] wright-state-raiders
game-31: [7] kentucky-wildcats vs [10] santa-clara-broncos
game-32: [2] iowa-state-cyclones vs [15] tennessee-state-tigers
## Game ID Convention
- Round of 64: use the game IDs shown above (e.g. "game-1", "game-2", etc.)
- Round of 32: use "r32-{region}-{number}" (e.g. "r32-east-1", "r32-east-2", "r32-east-3", "r32-east-4", "r32-west-1", etc.)
- Sweet 16: use "s16-{region}-{number}" (e.g. "s16-east-1", "s16-east-2", "s16-west-1", etc.)
- Elite 8: use "e8-{region}-1" (e.g. "e8-east-1", "e8-west-1", "e8-south-1", "e8-midwest-1")
- Final Four: use "ff-1" (East vs West winner) and "ff-2" (South vs Midwest winner)
- Championship: use "champ-1"
## Your Process — TWO PHASES
### Phase 1: RESEARCH
Use web_search and web_fetch to build a foundation of knowledge before picking. You should:
1. **Get the big picture first.** Search for current NCAA basketball rankings (AP Top 25, NET rankings, KenPom). Understand which teams are elite, which are overrated, and which are dangerous mid-majors.
2. **Research each region systematically.** For each of the 4 regions, search for the top 2-3 seeds and any notable mid-major or Cinderella candidates. Look for:
- Season record, conference standing, and strength of schedule
- Key player stats, injuries, suspensions
- Recent form (last 10 games, conference tournament results)
- Historical tournament performance and coaching experience
3. **Look for upset indicators.** Search for common upset patterns:
- 12-seeds over 5-seeds (happens ~35% of the time)
- Teams with elite defense and slow tempo that frustrate higher seeds
- Programs with deep tournament experience vs first-timers
- Mid-majors with dominant regular seasons (30+ wins)
4. **Check for specific matchup analysis.** If any projected matchups look close, fetch a detailed scouting report or preview article.
5. **Gather championship contender intel.** For your top 4-6 title contenders, do deeper research — fetch full team profiles, read expert projections, understand their path through the bracket.
Each search and fetch gives you real data. The more research you do, the better your bracket will be. Don't just search once — search multiple times from different angles.
### Phase 2: BUILD YOUR BRACKET
Now build your bracket:
1. Build your bracket region by region, using your research.
2. Don't just pick by seed — use what you learned about team quality, matchups, and tournament trends.
3. Include at least 2-3 upsets per region (this is March Madness, not chalk).
4. Use validate_bracket to verify your bracket before submitting.
5. Once validate_bracket returns valid, call submit_bracket to finish.
## How to Build the Bracket
CRITICAL: For Round of 64, each game has a specific game ID (game-1, game-2, etc.) and exactly two teams. Your winner for each game MUST be one of those two teams. If you're unsure which teams are in a game, use lookup_game to check.
1. **r1 (Round of 64)**: Go through each of the 32 games listed above. For each game, pick ONE of the two teams shown as the winner. Use the team ID slug. You MUST have exactly 32 picks.
2. **r2 (Round of 32)**: The 32 R64 winners pair up into 16 R32 games. Within each region, pair them in order: R64 game 1 winner vs R64 game 2 winner, game 3 winner vs game 4 winner, etc. You MUST have exactly 16 picks.
3. **r3 (Sweet 16)**: The 16 R32 winners pair into 8 S16 games. Same pairing logic. Exactly 8 picks.
4. **r4 (Elite 8)**: 8 S16 winners → 4 E8 games. Exactly 4 picks.
5. **r5 (Final Four)**: 4 E8 winners → 2 FF games. Exactly 2 picks.
6. **r6 (Championship)**: 2 FF winners → 1 championship game. Exactly 1 pick.
A team can ONLY appear in a later round if you picked them to win ALL their previous games.
## Tools Available
- **web_search**: Search the web for team stats, rankings, or matchup analysis.
- **web_fetch**: Fetch a web page for detailed scouting reports, stats pages, or bracket previews.
- **use_browser**: Browse a page using a real browser. Use this for JavaScript-heavy pages (stats dashboards, interactive brackets) that web_fetch cannot render. Slower — only use when web_fetch returns empty or broken content.
- **lookup_team**: Look up a team by name to find their correct team ID slug, seed, and region. Use this when you're unsure of a team's exact slug — e.g. lookup_team("houston") returns "houston-cougars". Only the 64 tournament teams are searchable.
- **lookup_game**: Look up a game by its ID to see which two teams are playing. Use this to verify matchups — e.g. lookup_game("game-1") returns the two teams in that game. IMPORTANT: use this if you're unsure which teams are in a specific game. The winner you pick MUST be one of the two teams in that game.
- **calculator**: Evaluate math expressions.
- **validate_bracket**: Check your bracket for errors before submitting. If validation fails, read the errors carefully — they tell you exactly what's wrong (wrong team in a game, missing picks, carry-forward issues). Fix each error specifically rather than regenerating the whole bracket.
- **submit_bracket**: Validate and submit your final bracket in one step. Pass your COMPLETE bracket (r1-r6 + tiebreakerScore) as input. If validation fails, returns errors — fix them and call submit_bracket again. If valid, the run ends successfully.
## Submission Flow
1. Build your bracket (r1 through r6 + tiebreakerScore)
2. Use validate_bracket to check for errors during development
3. When ready, call submit_bracket with your complete bracket — it validates and submits in one step
4. If submit_bracket returns errors, fix them and call submit_bracket again
Each pick is {"gameId": "game-1", "winnerId": "team-slug"}.
Use the team ID slugs shown in the matchups above (e.g. "duke-blue-devils", not "Duke").
Today's date: 2026-03-18
assistantMessage 2
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
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"query": "2026 March Madness upset predictions Cinderella teams"
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{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/march-madness-2026-bracket-ncaa-tournament-picks-predictions-by-top-rated-college-basketball-model/",
"title": "March Madness 2026 bracket: NCAA Tournament picks, predictions ...",
"snippet": "SportsLine's model has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds and revealed its optimal NCAA Tournament bracket 2026."
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"url": "https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2026-march-madness-men-field-predictions",
"title": "NCAA Bracketology: 2026 March Madness men's field predictions",
"snippet": "The selection show is almost here! Here's the latest look at what we're expecting when it starts."
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{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7123628/2026/03/17/march-madness-expert-bracket-picks-duke-champion/",
"title": "Expert picks for the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket: Why Brendan ...",
"snippet": "Expert picks for the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket: Why Brendan Marks has Duke winning it all ; 1 Duke. 8 Ohio State ; 5 St. John's. 4 Kansas ; 11 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/duke-heads-march-madness-ranked-181354564.html",
"title": "Duke heads into March Madness ranked No. 1 in AP Top 25, Purdue ...",
"snippet": "Duke is the No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and No. 1 in the final AP Top 25 of the regular season. The Blue Devils received 50 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/march-madness-2026-bracket-ncaa-tournament-picks-predictions-by-seasoned-college-basketball-model/",
"title": "March Madness 2026 bracket: NCAA Tournament picks, predictions ...",
"snippet": "SportsLine's model has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds and revealed its optimal NCAA Tournament bracket 2026."
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"title": "2026 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings",
"snippet": "Stats. Efficiency · Four Factors · Player Stats · Point Distribution · Height/Experience · Misc. Team Stats · FanMatch · D-I Universe; Miscellany."
},
{
"url": "https://www.foxsports.com/stories/college-basketball/kenpom-trends-march-madness-bracket",
"title": "KenPom Trends to Know Before Filling Out Your Men's ...",
"snippet": "Final Four Averages · Adjusted offensive efficiency rank: 18.47 · Adjusted defensive efficiency rank: 22.96 · Adjusted efficiency margin rank: ..."
},
{
"url": "https://kenpom.com/index.php?s=RankAdjOE&xid=17259,1500003,15700002,15700023,15700186,15700191,15700253",
"title": "2026 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings",
"snippet": "Efficiency · Four Factors · Player Stats · Point Distribution · Height/Experience · Misc. Team Stats · FanMatch · D-I Universe; Miscellany. Blog ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/ncaab/ncaa-tournament-bracket-based-using-kenpom-ratings-sgc/",
"title": "Updated KenPom Rankings for the 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Updated KenPom Ratings for all teams ahead of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, including Offensive & Defensive rankings."
},
{
"url": "https://www.on3.com/news/college-basketball-rankings-contending-teams-which-exceed-key-metrics-entering-conference-tournaments/",
"title": "College Basketball Rankings: Contending teams which ...",
"snippet": "KenPom assigns value to each team using a number of factors, including the offensive and defensive efficiency. The top contenders can then be ..."
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"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/article/ncaa-tournament-2026-best-cinderella-picks-and-upset-sleepers-for-march-madness-160049433.html",
"title": "NCAA tournament 2026: Best Cinderella picks and upset ...",
"snippet": "Dreaming Cinderella: Hofstra (No. 13 seed, Midwest) · Make your tournament bracket picks now and try to win $50K · March Madness 2026 printable ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/ncaa-tournament-2026-bracket-picks-cinderella-teams-upsets-model-simulates-march-madness-10k-times/",
"title": "NCAA Tournament 2026 bracket picks, Cinderella teams ...",
"snippet": "Knowing March Madness trends can help you make 2026 March Madness bracket picks, especially when it comes to eyeing upsets."
},
{
"url": "https://bleacherreport.com/articles/25407408-ncaa-upset-predictions-2026-cinderella-picks-mens-march-madness-bracket",
"title": "NCAA Upset Predictions 2026, Cinderella Picks for Men's ...",
"snippet": "... Upset Predictions 2026, Cinderella Picks for Men's March Madness Bracket. Zach BuckleyMar 16, 2026. Has men's college basketball left its Madness era behind ..."
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"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/most-likely-upsets-for-march-madness-2026-ncaa-tournament-cinderella-teams-to-target-in-your-bracket-picks/",
"title": "Most likely upsets for March Madness 2026: NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Three 2026 March Madness Cinderella teams to watch out for One potential 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket buster is the Akron Zips. The 12th-seeded ..."
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{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college-basketball/ten-teams-that-could-make-cinderella-runs-in-2026-mens-march-madness",
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}assistantMessage 3
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMGood start! Let me get more detailed information on the top teams and potential upset picks.
Tool Call: web_fetch
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/most-likely-upsets-for-march-madness-2026-ncaa-tournament-cinderella-teams-to-target-in-your-bracket-picks/"
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"query": "Duke Blue Devils 2026 NCAA tournament outlook roster injuries"
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}Tool Result: web_fetch
{
"content": "site: media \\| arena: general \\| pageType: stories \\|\nsection: \\| slug: 2026-march-madness-upsets-best-ncaa-tournament-cinderella-teams-to-favor-in-your-bracket-picks \\| sport: other \\| route: article\\_single.us \\|\n6-keys: media/spln/other/reg/free/stories\n\n[Skip to Main Content](https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/2026-march-madness-upsets-best-ncaa-tournament-cinderella-teams-to-favor-in-your-bracket-picks/#page-content)\n\nClose\n\nSign in with your TV provider\n\nIf not listed, please contact your TV provider.\n\n![[object Object] Logo](https://sportshub.cbsistatic.com/i/2020/04/22/e9ceb731-8b3f-4c60-98fe-090ab66a2997/screen-shot-2020-04-22-at-11-04-56-am.png)\n\nAll ProvidersXfinity\n\n# 2026 March Madness upsets: Best NCAA Tournament Cinderella teams to favor in your bracket picks\n\n## SportsLine's model nailed 12 of the teams in the Sweet 16 last season and simulated the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket 10,000 times\n\n[](https://www.cbssports.com/writers/owen-obrien/)\n\nBy\n[Owen OBrien](https://www.cbssports.com/writers/owen-obrien/)\n\n23 mins ago\n•\n3 min read\n\n\nImagn Images\n\nIn March Madness 2026, focusing on 8 vs. 9 matchups is key. No. 8 Villanova will face ninth-seeded Utah State in the first round of the 2026 NCAA bracket, while 8-seed Clemson will take on No. 9 Iowa. Many don't label 9 seeds defeating 8 seeds as 2026 March Madness upsets, but nailing those games with your 2026 March Madness picks is paramount. The Nova-Utah State matchup will see the Wildcats flying across the country to San Diego, while USU has much less travel.\n\nThe Aggies are a perfect 7-0 in neutral-site games this year, while Villanova is just 2-2. Add in that 9-seeds have won 52% of meetings versus 8-seeds, and you can see how touch picking this game could be with your NCAA Tournament picks without some help. Before making any 2026 March Madness bracket predictions, be sure to [check out the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine](https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2026-sportsline-upset-bracket-full-of-surprises/#ttag=03172026_agg_cbssports_picks_basketball_ncaa_model_MMnewbracket1).\n\nTheir proven projection model has simulated every game in the tournament 10,000 times. It has absolutely crushed its March Madness picks recently, beating over 91 percent of all CBS Sports brackets in four of the past seven tournaments. It was all over UConn's championship run two years ago and nailed 12 teams in the Sweet 16 last year. It also correctly predicted all four Final Four teams in 2025.\n\nIt knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds since its inception in 2016.\n\nNow, with the 2026 NCAA bracket revealed, the model is simulating the matchups and its results are in. [You can only see it over at SportsLine](https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2026-sportsline-upset-bracket-full-of-surprises/#ttag=03172026_agg_cbssports_picks_basketball_ncaa_model_MMnewbracket1).\n\n## Three 2026 March Madness Cinderella teams to watch out for\n\nOne potential 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket buster is the **Akron Zips**. The 12th-seeded Zips, who have very strong guard play, certainly have the pieces to make some noise in the March Madness bracket. Their bracket draw also helps their case. They get No. 5 Texas Tech in the first round, and the Red Raiders have been trending down since losing star JT Toppin (knee) for the season. They went just 3-4 in the seven games since that injury, and they enter the NCAA Tournament 2026 off a non-competitive 75-53 loss to Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament. Loo"
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}Tool Result: web_fetch
{
"content": "[Skip to main content](https://www.si.com/college-basketball/ten-teams-that-could-make-cinderella-runs-in-2026-mens-march-madness#main)\n\nPerhaps the biggest story of the 2025 men’s [NCAA tournament](https://www.si.com/march-madness) was the lack of a true Cinderella story. It was as chalky a tournament as you’ll find, and even the one, big seed-line upset (Colorado State over Memphis) didn’t turn into a deep run thanks to Derik Queen’s round of 32 heroics. That produced plenty of takes about the future role of Cinderella in the tournament. Has NIL and the transfer portal made it impossible for a mid-major run like the ones we’ve become accustomed to seeing? While it’s certainly possible that changes to the sport’s landscape may cut down on Cinderella runs long term, it’s too early to write off big upsets as a thing of the past. After all, we had more massive upsets in the previous few years before 2025 than almost any other stretch in the history of the event.\n\nSo who are the best candidates to wear this year’s magic slipper? _Sports Illustrated_ is here to help you find them, and maybe [help you win your bracket pool](https://www.si.com/college-basketball/bracket-challenge) in the process. Here’s a look at the top 10 candidates to blow up your bracket:\n\n## 1\\. VCU (No. 11 Seed, South Region)\n\nVCU got only a shred of the attention Saint Louis did in the Atlantic 10 this season, but the two ended up tied for the regular-season title and VCU won the conference tournament. After starting just 11–6, the Rams won 16 of 17 down the stretch to surge into the NCAA tournament and look increasingly like a team no one wants to play.\n\nThe major catalysts of the Rams’ improvement is the play of sophomore guards Terrence Hill Jr. and Brandon Jennings. Hill is an elite bucket-getter who takes care of the ball and scores it efficiently, while Jennings is a monster on the defensive end who changes games in certain matchups. Add in highly skilled big Lazar Djokovic and a stable of big wings that have defensive versatility, and you have a group that looks really dangerous at the moment.\n\nVCU has better guards than North Carolina, whose backcourt has been inconsistent all season. The matchup the Rams likely couldn’t solve would have been with likely top-five NBA draft pick Caleb Wilson, but Wilson is out for the season with a broken thumb. VCU has the bodies to throw at Henri Veesaar and looks like a very real live underdog to potentially pull an upset in the first round against the Tar Heels. And if that happens, don’t be shocked if the Rams scare Illinois, too. Jennings is a good potential [Keaton Wagler](https://www.si.com/college-basketball/keaton-waglers-meteoric-rise-at-illinois-isnt-a-fluke) defender, and the Illini have struggled of late.\n\n## 2\\. Santa Clara (No. 10 Seed, Midwest Region)\n\n[The Broncos have been knocking on the door of the Big Dance for a while under Herb Sendek](https://www.si.com/college-basketball/forde-minutes-everything-you-need-to-know-2026-mens-march-madness) with 20-plus wins per year in their last six full seasons and finally broke through this season for their first NCAA tournament berth in 30 years. And as Cinderellas go, they’re as battle-tested as they come, having played three power-conference opponents and 13 total games against top-100 KenPom foes.\n\nFrom a pure talent perspective, Santa Clara is more than capable of making a deep run. Freshman forward Allen Graves comes off the bench, but has the NBA intrigued playing a Cameron Boozer–like role for the Broncos. Big wing Elijah Mahi could get a look at the next level, too. Guards Christian Hammond and Sash Gavalyugov are studs, and 7-footer Bukky Oboye can change games as a shot blocker. The Broncos were the WCC’s most efficient offense this season and have plenty of firepower to keep pace with Kentucky.\n\nThe biggest concern in backing Santa Clara as a Cinderella is its poor free throw disparity. The Broncos get to the line at one of the 10 lowest rates in t"
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/dukes-jon-scheyer-confirms-key-165110316.html",
"title": "Duke's Jon Scheyer Confirms Key Players May Return for NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Jon Scheyer and the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils secured the No. 1 seed in the ACC Tournament after finishing the 2025-26 college basketball ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7125224/2026/03/17/march-madness-2026-player-injuries-caleb-foster-mikel-brown/",
"title": "Key March Madness injuries to know while filling out your men's ...",
"snippet": "Caleb Foster and Patrick Ngongba II, Duke. Both Duke starters missed the ACC tournament. The Blue Devils managed to win that event regardless ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/duke-shrugs-off-health-questions-sets-sights-on-siena/",
"title": "Duke shrugs off health questions, sets sights on Siena - CBS Sports",
"snippet": "The road to Indianapolis and the Final Four starts for the Blue Devils on Thursday afternoon with No. ... 2026 NCAA Tournament schedule, March ..."
},
{
"url": "https://balldurham.com/duke-s-long-forgotten-injury-will-leave-a-massive-void-at-the-acc-tournament",
"title": "Duke's long-forgotten injury will leave a massive void at the ACC ...",
"snippet": "A long-forgotten injury in the front court, though, leaves the Blue Devils without much of an answer beyond Maliq Brown, the ACC's sixth-man and ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.hoopshq.com/acc/duke-acc-tournament-2026",
"title": "Duke Keeps on Winning as It Adjusts to an Injury-Depleted Lineup",
"snippet": "With two starters already sidelined, the last thing the Blue Devils need right now is another injury to another key player. So far, they've ..."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 4
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMLet me get more details on Duke's injury situation and research other top seeds.
Tool Call: web_fetch
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7125224/2026/03/17/march-madness-2026-player-injuries-caleb-foster-mikel-brown/"
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}Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Arizona Wildcats 2026 NCAA tournament #1 seed preview"
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}Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Florida Gators 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview March Madness"
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}Tool Result: web_fetch
{
"error": "We apologize for the inconvenience but we do not support this site. If you are part of an enterprise and want to have a further conversation about this, please fill out our intake form here: https://fk4bvu0n5qp.typeform.com/to/Ej6oydlg",
"content": ""
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}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://collegefootballnews.com/college-basketball/meet-ncaa-tournament-2026-no-1-seeds-arizona-duke-florida-michigan",
"title": "Meet the NCAA Tournament No. 1 Seeds: Arizona, Duke, Florida",
"snippet": "Arizona, Duke, Florida, and Michigan will almost certainly be the 2026 NCAA Tournament No. 1 seeds. Here's CFN's breakdown of every top seed's ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ncaa-tournament-no-1-seed-120000723.html",
"title": "NCAA Tournament: How No. 1 seed Arizona can get to the Final Four",
"snippet": "In the 2026 NCAA Tournament, Arizona (32-2) is the No. ... March Madness 2026, odds, picks, predictions: Our favorite 2026 NCAA tournament futures ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37bzWt78A4Q",
"title": "Arizona NCAA Tournament Preview & Predictions with Fran Fraschilla",
"snippet": "The Arizona Wildcats are the favorites of many to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament ... Arizona Wildcats Are The 1-Seed In The West. AZ 12 Podcast. New."
},
{
"url": "https://www.azdesertswarm.com/basketball/77194/arizona-wildcats-ncaa-tournament-long-island-sharks-rod-strickland-west-region-san-diego-2026",
"title": "NCAA Tournament: Arizona men's basketball earns No. 1 seed in ...",
"snippet": "Arizona is the No. 1 seed in the West Region in the 2026 NCAA Tournament and will open play Friday in San Diego against Long Island. It is the ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.basketunderreview.com/ticket-punched-previewing-the-arizona-wildcats-for-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Ticket Punched: Previewing the Arizona Wildcats for the 2026 NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Arizona earned a No. 1 seed at the NCAA Tournament. In terms of seed strength, the Tournament Index grades the Wildcats as the fourth-strongest ..."
}
]
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7119236/2026/03/15/71192march-madness-2026-bracketology-prediction-florida-uconn/",
"title": "NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch: Florida keeps the last No. 1 seed ...",
"snippet": "It's close, but the predictive metrics favor the Gators slightly over Houston and decisively over UConn. Also, I've got Houston as the No. 5 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.news-press.com/story/sports/college/basketball/2026/03/17/florida-gators-basketball-march-madness-time-date-tampa/89191410007/",
"title": "Florida Gators fans can stay here, in Tampa, to start March Madness",
"snippet": "Florida Gators basketball will play its first-round game in Tampa on Friday, March 20, 2026."
},
{
"url": "https://gatorswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/gators/mens-basketball/2026/03/16/march-madness-predictions-toughest-final-four-road-1-seeds-florida/89182863007/",
"title": "Ranking difficulty of Florida's path to Final Four among 1-seeds",
"snippet": "The 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket is set and March Madness has officially begun with the Florida Gators holding the No. 1 seed in the South ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IT6nt0YD25Y",
"title": "March Madness South Region Bracket Preview, Picks - YouTube",
"snippet": "... college-basketball BETTING • For ... March Madness South Region Bracket Preview, Picks: Florida, Houston, Illinois | 2026 NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://www.naplesnews.com/story/sports/college/basketball/2026/03/17/march-madness-teams-florida-basketball-wont-want-to-see-in-2026-ncaa-tournament/89136673007/",
"title": "Teams Florida basketball doesn't want to see during March Madness",
"snippet": "Florida basketball is a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Here are three potential matchups that could challenge the Gators."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 5
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMLet me get more details on the top seeds and potential upsets:
Tool Call: web_fetch
{
"url": "https://collegefootballnews.com/college-basketball/meet-ncaa-tournament-2026-no-1-seeds-arizona-duke-florida-michigan"
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{
"query": "Michigan Wolverines 2026 NCAA tournament #1 seed basketball"
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}Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Houston Cougars 2026 NCAA tournament preview basketball"
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}Tool Result: web_fetch
{
"content": "[Skip to main content](https://collegefootballnews.com/#main-content)\n\nMarch 18, 2026\n\n[](https://collegefootballnews.com/)\n\n- [College Football](https://collegefootballnews.com/college-football)\n- [Predictions](https://collegefootballnews.com/predictions)\n- [Rankings](https://collegefootballnews.com/rankings)\n- [Schedules](https://collegefootballnews.com/college-football/2025-college-football-schedules)\n- [Bowl Projections](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/bowl-projections)\n\n[Search](https://collegefootballnews.com/search \"Search\")\n\n[College Basketball](https://collegefootballnews.com/college-basketball)\n\n[Michigan basketball](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/michigan-basketball)\n\n[Arizona basketball](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/arizona-basketball)\n\n[NCAA Tournament](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/ncaa-tournament)\n\n[Duke basketball](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/duke-basketball)\n\n[Florida basketball](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/florida-basketball)\n\n[NCAA Tournament 1 Seeds](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/ncaa-tournament-1-seeds)\n\nWelcome to the top four teams in the NCAA Tournament. It's national-title-or-bust for all four: [Arizona](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/arizona), [Duke](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/duke), [Florida](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/florida), and Michigan.\n\nThe No. 1 seeds have been all but locked in over the last several weeks. There might have been a little wiggle room with Florida after its loss in the SEC Tournament, but no chance.\n\nUConn had its shot, and it got rocked by St. John's. [Houston](https://collegefootballnews.com/tag/houston) might have had a bit of an argument, but the Gators were too good down the stretch.\n\n\n\nMar 14, 2026; Chicago, IL, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) passes the ball against the Wisconsin Badgers during the second half at United Center.\n\n© Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images\n\n## Arizona, Duke, Florida, Michigan: CFN's Breakdown of Every 2026 No. 1 Seed\n\nWith each team's strengths, weaknesses, and star players to know, here's our quick breakdown of the top four seeds.\n\nMeet the [No. 16 seeds these No. 1 seeds will play](https://collegefootballnews.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament-16-seeds-howard-lehigh-liu-prairie-view-siena-umbc)\n\n### Arizona\n\nGreat all season, the Wildcats have it all with size, depth, toughness, and an underappreciated calmness.\n\n**Record:** 32-2\n\n**Strengths:** Rebounding, Firepower\n\n**Concerns:** Threes, Free throws\n\n**Top Player To Know:** Brayden Burries, G Fr.\n\n**NCAA Tournament Expectations:** Win the first national title since 1997\n\n**CFN Final Top 68 Rank:** 3\n\n**KenPom Rank:** 2\n\n**NET Rank:** 3\n\n**Expected Region:** West\n\n**First Round Opponent:** LIU\n\n**CFN Early Spring Football Thought:** Top 25 potential with an experienced and dangerous team returning.\n\n### Duke\n\nDuke reloaded and is better overall than 2025. There are lapses, but the explosiveness is breathtaking.\n\n**Record:** 32-2\n\n**Strengths:** Offensive pop, Focused defense\n\n**Concerns:** Top depth. Okay free throws\n\n**Top Player To Know:** Cameron Boozer, F Fr.\n\n**NCAA Tournament Expectations:** Make up for last year and win it all\n\n**CFN Final Top 68 Rank:** 1\n\n**KenPom Rank:** 1\n\n**NET Rank:** 1\n\n**Expected Region:** East\n\n**First Round Opponent:** Siena\n\n**CFN Early Spring Football Thought:** The defending [ACC]("
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.nba.com/news/ncaa-tournament-duke-arizona-michigan-and-florida-claim-no-1-seeds-in-mens-bracket",
"title": "Duke nabs top seed in NCAA men's basketball Tournament - NBA",
"snippet": "The men's NCAA Tournament bracket is set: Duke, Arizona, Michigan and Florida have claimed the four No. 1 seeds."
},
{
"url": "https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/2026/03/15/michigan-basketballs-2026-ncaa-bracket-seed-opponent-revealed/89103404007/",
"title": "Michigan basketball 2026 NCAA bracket, seed, opponent revealed",
"snippet": "Michigan (31-3) will enter the NCAA Tournament as a No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region and will open play at 7:10 p.m. Thursday in Buffalo, New ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbGwU2WhEaQ",
"title": "Wolverines React to NCAA Tournament Bid, No. 1 Seed - YouTube",
"snippet": "... 2026 NCAA TOURNAMENT BRACKET!!!! Aaron Torres. New. 18K ... This Could Change EVERYTHING For Michigan Basketball + New and IMPROVED QB Room!!"
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7120730/2026/03/15/ncaa-tournament-bracket-duke-michigan-arizona/",
"title": "Duke, Arizona, Michigan and Florida earn No. 1 seeds in men's ...",
"snippet": "Duke, Michigan, Arizona and defending national champion Florida are the No. 1 seeds in the 2026 men's basketball NCAA Tournament, with Duke ..."
},
{
"url": "https://umhoops.com/2026/03/15/michigan-earns-no-1-seed-in-midwest-region-will-face-winner-of-umbc-howard/",
"title": "Michigan earns No. 1 seed in Midwest region, will face winner of ...",
"snippet": "Michigan is a No. 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Tournament and will play the winner of UMBC and Howard in the first round in Buffalo, NY."
}
]
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/why-houston-basketball-win-2026-162442582.html",
"title": "Why Houston basketball will win 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Discover why the Houston Cougars and their elite defense are the absolute smartest bet to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://nationaltoday.com/us/tx/houston/news/2026/03/17/2026-ncaa-tournament-predictions-final-four-picks/",
"title": "2026 NCAA Tournament Predictions: Final Four Picks",
"snippet": "Houston Cougars Poised to Win 2026 NCAA Tournament · Astros' Javier, Alvarez Shine in Spring Training. 6,184 Days celebrated; 18,552 Ways to ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k-c-f4-CkuU",
"title": "Coach Kelvin Sampson vs. Idaho (March 16, 2026)",
"snippet": "Houston Coach Kelvin Sampson previews the #5/5 (2) Cougars NCAA Tournament South Region First-Round matchup vs. (1) Idaho inside Paycom ..."
},
{
"url": "https://collegefootballnews.com/college-basketball/2026-ncaa-tournament-schedule-predictions-picks",
"title": "2026 NCAA Tournament Schedule, Predictions and Picks",
"snippet": "The 2026 NCAA Tournament full schedule, game previews, predictions, and betting lines for every game from the First Four through the ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/houston/basketball/where-houston-stands-in-march-madness-projections-after-big-12-championship",
"title": "Where Houston Stands in March Madness Projections After ...",
"snippet": "In those projections, he put No. 2 Houston taking on the No. 15 seed UMBC at Paycom Center with the chance to possibly play the No. 7 seed Texas ..."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 6
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Purdue Boilermakers 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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{
"query": "UConn Huskies 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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{
"query": "2026 March Madness 12 seed over 5 seed upset picks"
}Provider Metadata
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/why-purdue-basketball-upset-alert-000552540.html",
"title": "Why Purdue basketball is on upset alert in 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Purdue made a statement with victory in Big Ten Conference tournament, but advancing past the Sweet 16 is unlikely."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DfNtnHhSIb0",
"title": "Purdue vs. Queens NCAA Tournament Game Preview ... - YouTube",
"snippet": "The Sleepers preview Purdue's NCAA tournament game against Queens! This video is brought to you by Tinker Coffee, the Midwest's best brew!"
},
{
"url": "https://www.hammerandrails.com/mens-basketball/58933/2026-ncaa-tournament-west-region-preview",
"title": "How The West Will Be Won | Hammer and Rails",
"snippet": "Purdue Men's Basketball Wins the 2026 Big Ten Tournament Championship: Purdue 80 - Michigan 72 · Purdue Basketball: How to Watch #18 Purdue (26- ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.basketunderreview.com/ticket-punched-previewing-the-purdue-boilermakers-for-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Ticket Punched: Previewing the Purdue Boilermakers for the 2026 ...",
"snippet": "Purdue went 26-for-43 (60.5%) from that area of the floor on Sunday. Purdue is the second-lowest seed to win the Big Ten Tournament. Here is ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSjrLtepvGk",
"title": "Purdue Boilermakers vs Queens Royals Preview - YouTube",
"snippet": "Comments ; 2026 March Madness ROUND 1 Preview & Predictions! Best games to watch; Teams on upset alert. CBS Sports College Basketball ; Purdue ..."
}
]
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/womens-college-basketball/betting/article/2026-march-madness-uconn-enters-womens-ncaa-tournament-as-massive-favorite-021331189.html",
"title": "UConn enters women's NCAA tournament as massive favorite",
"snippet": "Every team not named UConn can be considered a relative long shot to win the 2026 women's NCAA tournament. The undefeated Huskies are ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ji9BvAyGbgY",
"title": "'Here's why UConn can STILL win the East Region!!' - YouTube",
"snippet": "2026 March Madness East Region Bracket Preview ... John Fanta picks the full 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket | College Basketball on NBC Sports."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ywe_8e5sLyA",
"title": "UConn returns to Final Four, Gonzaga loses in second round",
"snippet": "Adam Finkelstein joins CBS Sports HQ with his bold predictions for the 2026 NCAA tournament. (0:00) 2 first round wins by Atlantic 10 (1:35) ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ready-another-deep-ncaa-run-173400390.html",
"title": "Ready for another deep NCAA run? UConn men's history as a No. 2 ...",
"snippet": "The UConn men's basketball team is set to embark on their 2026 NCAA Tournament journey, which they hope will culminate with a third national ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.wfsb.com/2026/03/15/this-is-who-uconn-men-will-play-opening-round-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "This is who the UConn men will play in the opening round of ... - WFSB",
"snippet": "The Huskies were given a #2 seed and will play the #15 seed Furman Paladins on Friday in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The UConn men's basketball ..."
}
]
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/article/march-madness-2026-which-top-seeds-are-at-the-highest-risk-of-busting-your-bracket-161123689.html",
"title": "Which top seeds are at the highest risk of busting your bracket?",
"snippet": "2026 NCAA Tournament bracket picks: Best Cinderella teams and upset sleepers for March Madness. Do you believe in magic? Well, these teams ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/ncaa-tournament-2026-bracket-simulation-predicts-surprising-upsets-best-sleepers-march-madness-picks/",
"title": "NCAA Tournament 2026 bracket: Simulation predicts surprising ...",
"snippet": "Picking 2026 March Madness upsets can give you a significant advantage in your 2026 March Madness picks, so which 12 over 5 or 13 over 4 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7121264/2026/03/16/march-madness-upsets-ncaa-tournament-2026-10-most-likely/",
"title": "The 10 most likely men's NCAA tournament upsets for March ...",
"snippet": "The 10 most likely men's NCAA tournament upsets for March Madness 2026 ; No. 5 Vanderbilt Commodores vs. No. 12 McNeese Cowboys · 41.2 percent ; No ..."
},
{
"url": "https://deadspin.com/best-12-vs-5-ncaa-tournament-upset-picks-for-2026-march-madness/",
"title": "Best 12 vs 5 NCAA Tournament Upset Picks for 2026 March Madness",
"snippet": "Looking for 12 vs 5 upsets in March Madness? Here's a breakdown of the best underdog picks in the first round."
},
{
"url": "https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/17/march-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026/89193610007/",
"title": "March Madness bold predictions: Top upset picks, surprises, sleepers",
"snippet": "12-seed McNeese got a vote for the Sweet 16 from Matt Hayes. He picked the Cowboys to beat Vanderbilt and then Nebraska in the South Region."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
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}assistantMessage 7
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_fetch
{
"url": "https://deadspin.com/best-12-vs-5-ncaa-tournament-upset-picks-for-2026-march-madness/"
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"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/article/march-madness-2026-which-top-seeds-are-at-the-highest-risk-of-busting-your-bracket-161123689.html"
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{
"content": "# Best 12 vs 5 NCAA Tournament Upset Picks for 2026 March Madness\n\n[Drew Thirion](https://deadspin.com/author/drew-t/) \\|published: Tue 17th March, 10:18 2026\n\nJan 27, 2026; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Vanderbilt Commodores guard Tyler Tanner (3) reacts after a made three point basket against the Kentucky Wildcats during the second half at Memorial Gymnasium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-Imagn Images\n\nThe 12 versus 5 matchup in the tournament is always the trendy upset pick, but that might not be the case this season.\n\nThe five seeds look very strong, while the twelve seeds will be fighting a steeper up hill climbin than usual. With that being said, five seeds have only gone undefeated five times since 2000, so having one upset on your bracket is probably a smart call.\n\nHere are the twelve seeds that I think have the best chance [to play Cinderella](https://deadspin.com/march-madness-cinderella-picks-three-teams-ready-to-bust-brackets) in the first round.\n\n## \\#12 UNI (+470) vs \\#5 St. John’s -10.5\n\nSt. John’s is a dark-horse final-four team on a lot of brackets at the moment. The Big East champions, [led by Rick Pitino](https://deadspin.com/st-johns-is-back-rick-pitinos-big-mouth-is-louder-and-the-big-east-title-is-theirs/), play a completely different brand of basketball from UNI. St John’s is going to speed the game up by applying full-court pressure and creating turnovers and extra possessions on offensive rebounds. The Panthers, on the other hand, play at the third-slowest tempo in the nation and the slowest of any team in the tournament.\n\nIn March, if you can limit the total number of possessions in a game, while shooting efficiently, you’ve got a great chance of pulling off an upset. UNI shot 41% from three over their four-game run through the Missouri Valley Conference to steal the conference as the 6 seed. St John’s played some of their best basketball in the Big East tournament, but we saw that happen last season, and then the Johnnies faltered out early, when they weren’t able to speed up the game in the tournament.\n\nToo many people have St. John’s going on a deep run when they should be far more worried about this first-round matchup.\n\n## \\#12 Akron (+260) vs \\#5 Texas Tech -7.5\n\nMar 7, 2026; Provo, Utah, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders guard Christian Anderson (4) reacts to a made three point shot during the second half against the BYU Cougars at Marriott Center. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Baker-Imagn Images\n\nAkron is one of the trendy 12 seeds this season. They’re a veteran team, making their third straight appearance in the tournament, while Texas Tech can be a great team, but their ceiling feels very limited with the injury to their leader, JT Toppin.\n\nThe Zips have been a bit of a KenPom darling all season long.\n\nThey had been the highest-ranked MAC team despite losing to [undefeated Miami](https://deadspin.com/why-the-ncaa-tournament-selection-process-still-doesnt-make-sense/) in the regular season. Akron and Texas Tech have the closest margin in KenPom ratings among the 12 vs 5 games because Akron has been such an efficient offense all season. They shoot threes at 38.5% and can keep pace with a Texas Tech team that scores 80 points per game. The only reason I don’t have this in my No. 1 slot is Texas Tech’s defense.\n\nTheir entire game plan relies on them preventing threes, an"
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{
"content": "Advertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\n[17\\\\\n\\\\\nHOURS LEFT\\\\\n\\\\\n\\\\\n\\\\\nThink you've got the perfect bracket? Prove it.\\\\\n\\\\\n$50k is on the line. Enter by 3/19\\\\\n\\\\\nFill Out Bracket](https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/mens-basketball-bracket/register/createteam?ncid=100003769)\n\nTRENDING\n\n- [Play Bracket Mayhem](http://yahoofantasy.com/bracketmayhem)\n\n- [March Madness bracket picks](https://sports.yahoo.com/mens-college-basketball/article/march-madness-bracket-picks-cinderellas-upsets-final-four-predictions-and-more-for-the-ncaa-mens-and-womens-tournaments-134128076.html)\n\n- [Printable brackets](https://sports.yahoo.com/mens-college-basketball/breaking-news/article/march-madness-printable-brackets-for-mens-and-womens-2026-ncaa-basketball-tournaments-141418306.html)\n\n- [About WNBA's new CBA and season](https://sports.yahoo.com/wnba/article/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-wnbas-new-cba-and-upcoming-season-173735615.html)\n\n- [No silver lining for USA](https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/article/world-baseball-classic-for-team-usa-juggernaut-offense-never-materializes-in-another-wbc-disappointment-075418149.html)\n\n\nStory by [\\\\\n\\\\\n](https://sports.yahoo.com/)\n\n[](https://sports.yahoo.com/author/scott-pianowski/)\n\n[Scott Pianowski](https://sports.yahoo.com/author/scott-pianowski/) Fantasy analyst\n\nWed, March 18, 2026 at 3:08 PM UTC·\n\n5 min read\n\nAlthough changes to the college basketball landscape have made things easier for the chalk in recent years, it doesn’t mean [the higher seeds are auto-picks to win games over the next three weeks](https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/article/march-madness-2026-cinderella-teams-to-consider-when-filling-out-your-bracket-for-the-tournament-160049884.html). We always have to be mindful of high-profile schools that might be ripe for picking off, and today we’ll discuss four signature programs (hitting on a 1, 2, 3 and 4 seed) that could fit that profile.\n\n_Note: All team stats courtesy of the indispensable KenPom.com._\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\n## Florida, No. 1 seed (South)\n\nThe pros are always going to outweigh the cons with any No. 1 seed, but it’s fair to acknowledge the gap between Florida and the other three top-seeded clubs. Duke is currently the championship favorite (Bet MGM has them at +300), closely followed by Michigan (+350) and Arizona (+400). Florida is a mild step back at +650. So any discussion about the most vulnerable No. 1 seed has to start with the Gators.\n\n**\\[** [**Yahoo Fantasy Bracket Mayhem: Make your picks for $50K in total prizes**](https://tournament.fantasysports.yahoo.com/mens-basketball-bracket/register/createteam?ncid=100003774) **\\]**\n\nFlorida’s dominant frontcourt (the Gators were the second-best offensive rebounding team in the country) presents a plausible path to a repeat championship. But will the guard play be good enough? Florida ranks 161st in turnover percentage, and only made 30.8% of its 3-point attempts, a shockingly low rate for a powerhouse program.\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\nAdvertisement\n\nFlorida could also get tripped up by geo"
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}assistantMessage 8
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Gonzaga Bulldogs 2026 NCAA tournament preview"
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{
"query": "Iowa State Cyclones 2026 NCAA tournament basketball"
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{
"query": "North Carolina Tar Heels 2026 NCAA tournament injuries Caleb Wilson"
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vZ_AnTkbS0g",
"title": "What's the X-Factor for Gonzaga's Title Hopes? - YouTube",
"snippet": "Why Arizona will be most popular Final Four pick | 2026 March Madness West Region Preview & Picks. CBS Sports College Basketball. New. 1.1K ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/best-worst-case-scenarios-gonzaga-120004158.html",
"title": "Best and worst case scenarios for Gonzaga on Selection Sunday",
"snippet": "It is officially Selection Sunday, the day Mark Few and the Gonzaga Bulldogs find out what their path back to the Sweet 16 - and beyond ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/gonzaga/basketball/predicting-gonzaga-full-ncaa-tournament-path-bulldogs-overcome-familiar-foes-for-another-deep-postseason-run",
"title": "Predicting Gonzaga's full NCAA Tournament path - Sports Illustrated",
"snippet": "Projecting the Zags' postseason matchups as they look to make it to the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament once again."
},
{
"url": "https://www.kxly.com/sports/how-gonzaga-and-idaho-basketball-made-history-together-2026-march-madness-preview/article_c669e2e8-e1df-427b-bbdb-a2b595513400.html",
"title": "How Gonzaga and Idaho basketball made history together - KXLY.com",
"snippet": "The 2026 field is the first-ever with both Idaho men's and women's. Gonzaga women's needed a conference title win, too. They blew past the No."
},
{
"url": "https://www.basketunderreview.com/ticket-punched-previewing-the-gonzaga-bulldogs-for-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Ticket Punched: Previewing the Gonzaga Bulldogs for the 2026 ...",
"snippet": "Gonzaga becomes the automatic bid for the WCC in their final postseason before heading to the Pac-12 in the fall. Their 79-68 win on Tuesday ..."
}
]
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://cyclones.com/news/2026/3/15/mens-basketball-dancing-again-cyclones-earn-25th-ncaa-tournament-bid",
"title": "Dancing Again! Cyclones Earn 25th NCAA Tournament Bid",
"snippet": "Iowa State's NCAA ticket allotment for the preliminary rounds will be allocated as follows: Cyclone Club Members (222 tickets); Iowa State ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/iowa-state/basketball/iowa-state-cyclones-ranked-as-a-top-team-in-ncaa-tournament",
"title": "Iowa State Cyclones Ranked as a Top Team in NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "The Iowa State Cyclones stack up well in the rankings of the 68 teams in the 2026 NCAA Tournament field."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/why-iowa-state-basketball-upset-163318543.html",
"title": "Why Iowa State basketball is on upset alert in 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "The Iowa State basketball team hopes to reach a Final Four for the first time with T.J. Otzelberger as head coach."
},
{
"url": "https://www.kcci.com/article/2026-ncaa-tournament-bracket-iowa-state-uni-hawkeyes-cyclones/70746063",
"title": "March Madness: NCAA Tournament matchups for Iowa, Iowa State ...",
"snippet": "2026 NCAA Tournament: Iowa State basketball earns No. 2 seed, will play Tennessee State in St. Louis ... Iowa State will stay close to home. The ..."
},
{
"url": "https://cyclonefanatic.com/2026/03/iowa-states-2026-ncaa-tournament-preview/",
"title": "Analyzing Iowa State's path to the Sweet 16 - Cyclone Fanatic",
"snippet": "Iowa State enters the 2026 NCAA Tournament as a 2‑seed in St. Louis against 15‑seed Tennessee State on Friday (1:50 CT, CBS)."
}
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.wral.com/sports/unc-homecourt-advantage-greenville-sc-caleb-wilson-out-march-2026/",
"title": "UNC opens NCAA Tournament without Caleb Wilson vs. ...",
"snippet": "Wilson, an All-ACC first-team selection, is out for the season after breaking his right thumb. Wilson injured the thumb while working back from ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/unc/tar-heels-how-can-survive-caleb-wilson-absence-ncaa-tournament",
"title": "How UNC Can Survive Caleb Wilson's Absence in NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Wilson suffered what was initially a fractured hand on Feb. 10 against Miami, then suffered a broken thumb that required season-ending surgery ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/did-caleb-wilson-injury-impact-041510072.html",
"title": "Did Caleb Wilson injury impact North Carolina Tar Heels' ...",
"snippet": "Caleb Wilson's season-ending hand injury seemed to have made a firm impact on the North Carolina Tar Heels' seeding in the NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/48124467/caleb-wilson-injury-impact-unc-duke-ncaa-tournament-nba-draft",
"title": "How Caleb Wilson's injury impacts UNC-Duke, NCAA ...",
"snippet": "The North Carolina Tar Heels were dealt a blow Friday when Caleb Wilson was ruled out for the season after undergoing surgery on a broken ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.fayobserver.com/story/sports/college/acc/2026/03/13/caleb-wilson-injury-unc-basketball-clemson-acc-tournament/89036682007/",
"title": "Caleb Wilson discusses injury after UNC loss to Clemson ...",
"snippet": "Following his eighth straight game on the sideline, including the last two with a season-ending right thumb injury that required surgery, Wilson ..."
}
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}assistantMessage 9
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMThis is great information. North Carolina has lost star player Caleb Wilson to injury. Let me research more potential upsets and key matchups:
Tool Call: web_search
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"query": "Texas Tech Red Raiders 2026 NCAA tournament JT Toppin injury"
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"query": "Kentucky Wildcats 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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"query": "Alabama Crimson Tide 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/47961941/texas-tech-star-jt-toppin-injured-upset-loss-arizona-state",
"title": "Texas Tech's JT Toppin injures lower right leg in loss to ASU - ESPN",
"snippet": "Texas Tech star forward JT Toppin injured his lower right leg while driving to the basket with 6:03 remaining in Tuesday night's upset loss ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/other/texas-tech-star-jt-toppin-out-for-season-after-suffering-torn-acl-in-loss-to-arizona-state/ar-AA1WCmv1?cvid=69974ba485084005928ead7e93f8b5d0&ocid=iehp%2F&apiversion=v2&domshim=1&noservercache=1&noservertelemetry=1&batchservertelemetry=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1",
"title": "Texas Tech star JT Toppin out for season after suffering torn ACL in ...",
"snippet": "The Red Raiders announced on Wednesday that Toppin will miss the rest of the season with a torn right ACL. Toppin went down late in No. 13 Texas ..."
},
{
"url": "https://texastech.com/news/2026/2/18/mens-basketball-injury-update-on-jt-toppin",
"title": "Injury Update on JT Toppin - Texas Tech Red Raiders",
"snippet": "An MRI has confirmed that Texas Tech junior forward JT Toppin sustained a season-ending torn ACL in his right knee Tuesday night in the game ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Hm0qGSZyks",
"title": "Texas Tech star JT Toppin OUT for remainder for season with torn ACL",
"snippet": "HOOPS BUSINESS: Assessing the BANG for Texas Tech's basketball BUCK in 2026 | Red Raider Podcast ... 2026 March Madness ROUND 1 Preview & ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/jt-toppin-injury-impacts-texas-100651192.html",
"title": "JT Toppin injury: How it impacts Texas Tech's NCAA Tournament ...",
"snippet": "The ripple effects of JT Toppin's season-ending torn ACL will be felt throughout the college basketball landscape over the next month, ..."
}
]
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.aseaofblue.com/166630/how-far-will-kentucky-basketball-go-ncaa-tournament",
"title": "How far will Kentucky Basketball go in the NCAA Tournament?",
"snippet": "March Madness is finally here, and your Kentucky Wildcats will look to tip off what hopes to be an extended postseason run when they face Santa ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-basketball/how-far-will-kentucky-advance-in-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "How far will Kentucky advance in the 2026 NCAA Tournament?",
"snippet": "The Wildcats fell short of lofty expectations during the regular season. Will they rise to the moment now that it's time for Madness?"
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/early-projections-kentucky-chances-advance-134703825.html",
"title": "This is what the early projections say of Kentucky's chances to ...",
"snippet": "The Wildcats drew Santa Clara in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and that will be a tricky matchup. Here's what the projections say."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=awRp4pngS50",
"title": "THIS is why Kentucky will make the SWEET 16!!! | Bracket Breakdown",
"snippet": "Kentucky vs Santa Clara NCAA Tournament Game Preview ... Expert Matt Norlander fills out his bracket | 2026 NCAA TOURNAMENT PREDICTIONS & ADVICE."
},
{
"url": "https://www.kentucky.com/sports/college/kentucky-sports/uk-basketball-men/article315065459.html",
"title": "'Anything is possible' for Kentucky in 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Mark Pope's Kentucky Wildcats now have their NCAA Tournament path. They watched the Selection Sunday show at the coach's house."
}
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{
"url": "https://www.tidesports.com/story/sports/college/sec/2026/03/15/alabama-march-madness-bracket-predictions-for-2026-ncaa-tournament/89138105007/",
"title": "Alabama March Madness bracket predictions for 2026 ...",
"snippet": "In this projection, the No. 5 seed Crimson Tide will head to Philadelphia, where it would be joined by No. 12 Akron, No."
},
{
"url": "https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-basketball/how-far-will-alabama-advance-in-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "How far will Alabama advance in the 2026 NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Alabama is 32-26 all time in the NCAA Tournament, with coach Nate Oats sporting an 11-5 Big Dance record with the Tide."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/alabama-basketballs-2026-ncaa-tournament-230912734.html",
"title": "Alabama Basketball's 2026 NCAA Tournament Seed, First ...",
"snippet": "The Crimson Tide has learned its March Madness path as head coach Nate Oats enters his sixth consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1dRFCSEChs",
"title": "Nate Oats compares 2026 Alabama to the 2024 Final Four ...",
"snippet": "Alabama head coach Nate Oats joins CBS Sports Network for an interview ahead of the 2026 NCAA Tournament. [0:00:00] Coach Oats talks ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.on3.com/teams/alabama-crimson-tide/news/alabama-basketball-receives-4-seed-in-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Alabama basketball receives 4-seed in 2026 NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Alabama basketball has made the NCAA Tournament once again, being selected as a 4-seed in this year's bracket."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 10
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Illinois Fighting Illini 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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{
"query": "McNeese Cowboys 2026 NCAA tournament Cinderella basketball"
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"query": "2026 March Madness Final Four predictions expert picks"
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{
"url": "https://fightingillini.com/news/2026/3/17/mens-basketball-ncaa-tournament-first-round-preview-3-illinois-vs-14-penn.aspx",
"title": "NCAA Tournament First Round Preview | 3 Illinois vs. 14 Penn",
"snippet": "Illinois played a total of 16 games against 14 teams in the 2026 NCAA Tournament field, plus a preseason scrimmage against defending national ..."
},
{
"url": "https://writingillini.com/illinois-basketball-is-dancing-in-the-ncaa-tournament-for-the-6th-straight-season",
"title": "Illinois basketball is dancing in the NCAA tournament for the 6th ...",
"snippet": "Illinois' first round opponent in the 2026 NCAA tournament is going to be Penn. This program has been solid this season, but with Illinois' ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/why-illinois-basketball-upset-alert-230630416.html",
"title": "Why Illinois basketball is on upset alert in 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Illinois basketball looks like its geared for a Final Four run. But here's why Penn could stun them in March Madness."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/illinois/basketball/how-illinois-basketball-can-win-2026-big-ten-tournament",
"title": "How Illinois Basketball Can Win the 2026 Big Ten Tournament",
"snippet": "On Friday, Illinois will begin its run at a Big Ten Tournament championship, needing just three wins to secure the title after it clinched a ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.thetelegraph.com/sports/article/illinois-basketball-jay-bilas-prediction-elite-8-22078477.php",
"title": "ESPN's Jay Bilas picks Illinois basketball to reach Elite Eight",
"snippet": "ESPN analyst Jay Bilas says Illinois can make a deep 2026 NCAA Tournament run and reach the Elite Eight under Brad Underwood."
}
]
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{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/48223542/ncaa-tournament-upsets-first-round-giant-killers-march-madness-2026",
"title": "Most probable first-round upsets in the men's 2026 NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Cinderella hasn't shown her face much of late. Only five double-digit seeds won in the first round of the 2025 men's NCAA tournament, ..."
},
{
"url": "https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2026/03/16/cinderella-teams-destined-to-make-deep-2026-march-madness-runs/",
"title": "Cinderella teams destined to make deep 2026 March ...",
"snippet": "The Cowboys are 28-5 overall, 19-3 in the Southland, 9-5 on the road, 5-0 on neutral floors, and they arrive on a 10-game winning streak while ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/march-madness-2026-bracket-cinderella-teams-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "March Madness 2026: NCAA Tournament Cinderella ...",
"snippet": "McNeese is a deep, old team that makes life hard on its opponents with a gritty defense that tops the charts nationally in turnover percentage."
},
{
"url": "http://www.aroundthecorn.com/ncaab/2026-march-madness-cinderella-casting-southland-patriot-and-big-sky-conference-auto-bids/",
"title": "Southland, Patriot and Big Sky Conference Auto-Bids ...",
"snippet": "McNeese State has been a popular Cinderella choice for those filling out brackets the prior two seasons, and 2026 should be no different. The ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.kplctv.com/2026/03/15/mcneese-will-face-vanderbilt-first-round-mens-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "McNeese will face Vanderbilt in first-round of the men's ...",
"snippet": "On Sunday, the Cowboys found out their first-round dancing partner: Vanderbilt. The 12th-seeded Cowboys will face the fifth-seeded Vanderbilt ..."
}
]
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7123628/2026/03/17/march-madness-expert-bracket-picks-duke-champion/",
"title": "Expert picks for the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket: Why Brendan ...",
"snippet": "Expert picks for the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket: Why Brendan Marks has Duke winning it all ; 1 Duke. 8 Ohio State ; 5 St. John's. 4 Kansas ; 11 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAZJ_li2jzg",
"title": "Andy Katz breaks down his 2026 March Madness bracket - YouTube",
"snippet": "Andy Katz runs through each region in his official men's 2026 March Madness bracket predictions ... - NCAA March Madness Tournament 2026."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college-basketball/mens-march-madness-expert-predictions-dark-horses-vulnerable-no-1-seeds-title-winner",
"title": "Dark Horses, Vulnerable No. 1 Seeds, Title Winner - Sports Illustrated",
"snippet": "Men's March Madness Expert Predictions: Dark Horses, Vulnerable No. 1 Seeds, Title Winner. What will we see over the three weeks of the NCAA ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/ncaa-bracket-predictions-model-says-surprising-march-madness-2026-tournament-picks/",
"title": "NCAA bracket predictions: Model reveals surprising March Madness ...",
"snippet": "Before making any 2026 March Madness bracket predictions, be sure to check out the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the proven computer ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/17/march-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026/89193610007/",
"title": "March Madness bold predictions: Top upset picks, surprises, sleepers",
"snippet": "March Madness predictions: Most popular NCAA Tournament first round upset picks. Santa Clara over Kentucky was picked eight times (80%). VCU ..."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 11
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_fetch
{
"url": "https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/17/march-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026/89193610007/"
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{
"query": "2026 NCAA tournament SMU Mustangs Tennessee Volunteers preview"
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}Tool Result: web_fetch
{
"content": "[Close](https://www.usatoday.com/sports/) [Close](https://www.usatoday.com/sports/)\n\nNCAA TOURNAMENT\n\nNCAA Men's Basketball Tournament\n\nAdd Topic\n\n# March Madness bold predictions: Top upset picks, surprises, sleepers\n\n[ Matthew Glenesk](https://www.usatoday.com/staff/2646923001/matthew-glenesk/)\n\nUSA TODAY\n\nMarch 17, 2026Updated March 18, 2026, 11:02 a.m. ET\n\nHear this story\n\n[Share to Facebook](https://www.facebook.com/dialog/share?display=popup&app_id=1279862243338849&href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fstory%2Fsports%2Fncaab%2Ftourney%2F2026%2F03%2F17%2Fmarch-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026%2F89193610007%2F)[Share to Twitter](https://x.com/intent/post?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fstory%2Fsports%2Fncaab%2Ftourney%2F2026%2F03%2F17%2Fmarch-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026%2F89193610007%2F&text=March%20Madness%20bold%20predictions%3A%20Top%20upset%20picks%2C%20surprises%2C%20sleepers&via=usatoday)[Share by email](mailto:?subject=March%20Madness%20bold%20predictions%3A%20Top%20upset%20picks%2C%20surprises%2C%20sleepers%20-%20from%20USA%20TODAY&body=March%20Madness%20bold%20predictions%3A%20Top%20upset%20picks%2C%20surprises%2C%20sleepers%0A%0AWhat%27s%20most%20popular%20March%20Madness%20upset%20pick%3F%20How%20about%20a%20Sweet%2016%20surprise%20and%20a%20Final%20Four%20dark%20horse.%20See%20our%20NCAA%20Tournament%202026%20predictions.%0A%0ACheck%20out%20this%20story%20on%20usatoday.com%3A%20https%3A%2F%2Fwww.usatoday.com%2Fstory%2Fsports%2Fncaab%2Ftourney%2F2026%2F03%2F17%2Fmarch-madness-upset-predictions-final-four-picks-to-help-fill-out-ncaa-tournament-bracket-2026%2F89193610007%2F)\n\nNeed help filling out your [March Madness bracket](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/15/march-madness-printable-bracket-pdf-ncaa-tournament-2026/89099335007/)?\n\nWe had 10 members of the USA TODAY Sports staff [fill out brackets](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/16/march-madness-bracket-predictions-ncaa-tournament-2026-expert-picks/89170127007/) using [our Bracket Challenge game](https://www.usatoday.com/sports/contests/brackets/sweepstakes), presented by [AutoZone](https://www.autozone.com/?cmpid=DSP:US:EN:AD:2608:UST:AWR:BNR:1x1:GEN:NA:TPR:SCD:GRL:GAL:NA:NA:NA:NA&dclid=CK696t-pp5MDFZKSrgUdgoIchQ&gad_source=7&gad_campaignid=23605445926).\n\nHere's a look at some of the takeaways from their predictions, including most popular upset and most likely [Final Four](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/tourney/2026/03/15/march-madness-predictions-final-four-picks-ncaa-tournament-2026/89119495007/) teams.\n\n[](https://www.usatoday.com/picture-gallery/sports/ncaab/2026/03/17/ncaa-basketball-famous-alumni/89147361007/)\n\n## March Madness predictions: Most popular NCAA Tournament first round upset picks\n\n- Santa Clara over Kentucky was picked eight times (80%).\n- VCU over North Carolina was picked seven times (70%).\n- South Florida over Louisville was picked six times (60%).\n\n## Our boldest March Madness first round upset prediction\n\n[Matt Hayes' bracket](https://www.usatoday.com/sports/contests/brackets/1baa4461-7d4a-410f-b2b8-3bdd9b06b7f5) is go big or go home. He has seven double-digit seeds winning first round games.\n\nHe's got your typical 5-12 upsets, going with High Point to beat Wisconsin and McNeese beating Vanderbilt in the first round.\n\nBut he wasn't done. His prediction of 14-seed Wright State beating 3-seed Virginia in the Midwest Region was our boldest take.\n\n[View Gallery - March Madness bracket b"
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{
"url": "https://allfortennessee.com/tennessee-s-2026-ncaa-tournament-draw-is-an-absolute-nightmare-01kkssq1ds49",
"title": "Tennessee's 2026 NCAA Tournament draw is an absolute nightmare",
"snippet": "SMU is the better match for Tennessee, in my opinion. They are a really good scoring team led by star Boopier Miller, who averages nearly 20 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://atozsports.com/nashville/volunteers/the-athletic-predicts-how-basketball-tennessee-vols-will-advance-in-the-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "The Athletic predicts how far the Tennessee Vols will advance in the ...",
"snippet": "The Tennessee Vols learned their NCAA Tournament fate on Selection Sunday. Tennessee will be a No. 6 seed in the midwest region, ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.knoxnews.com/story/sports/college/university-of-tennessee/mens-basketball/2026/03/15/tennessee-miami-ohio-smu-march-madness-prediction-ncaa-bracket/89086399007/",
"title": "Tennessee vs Miami (Ohio), SMU prediction, pick in March Madness ...",
"snippet": "It's Tennessee Volunteers vs the winner of Miami (Ohio) and SMU in March Madness. Here's our prediction for the 2026 NCAA tournament ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-basketball/how-far-will-tennessee-advance-in-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "How far will Tennessee advance in the 2026 NCAA Tournament?",
"snippet": "Tennessee is the No. 6 seed in the Midwest Region, and the Volunteers will look to start what they hope is a deep run in the NCAA ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/national-media-outlet-united-ncaa-134925213.html",
"title": "National media outlet is united in its NCAA Tournament prediction ...",
"snippet": "The Lady Vols are a No. 10 seed in this year's tournament. Tennessee will take on No. 7 seed NC State in the first round."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 12
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Missouri Tigers 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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{
"query": "Texas AM Aggies 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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{
"query": "Michigan State Spartans 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/news/college-basketball/how-far-will-mizzou-advance-in-the-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "How far will Mizzou advance in the 2026 NCAA Tournament?",
"snippet": "Mizzou will play Miami in Round 1 of the 2026 NCAA Tournament in St. Louis. How far will Dennis Gates and company advance?"
},
{
"url": "https://www.columbiatribune.com/story/sports/college/tiger-extra/2026/03/15/missouri-basketball-march-madness-bracket-predictions-for-2026-ncaa-tournament/89103274007/",
"title": "Missouri basketball March Madness bracket predictions for ...",
"snippet": "Missouri basketball NCAA Tournament résumé for 2026 March Madness ... The Tigers are now ranked No. 58 nationally in the NET rankings. The ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.rockmnation.com/missouri-tigers-basketball/142178/the-2026-mizzou-basketball-fan-guide-for-march-madness",
"title": "The 2026 Mizzou Basketball Fan Guide for March Madness",
"snippet": "Mizzou's NCAA Tournament resume has seemingly everything. There are elite wins and confusing losses. There were stretches of the season where ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/ncaa-tournament-picks-bracket-032444601.html",
"title": "NCAA Tournament Picks for your bracket",
"snippet": "Despite coming in on a three-game losing streak, I like Missouri's chances to pull off a minor upset and get a win in front of Mizzou heavy ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/missouri/basketball/instant-reaction-to-mizzou-seeding-matchup-in-2026-ncaa-tournament",
"title": "Instant Reaction to Mizzou's Seeding, Matchup in 2026 ...",
"snippet": "This should give Missouri a huge lift to potentially pull off an upset. Missouri has been a streaky and somewhat inconsistent team this season."
}
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{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/texas-m-predicted-11-seed-182504578.html",
"title": "Texas A&M predicted as an 11-seed in final USA TODAY bracket ...",
"snippet": "USA Today's final NCAA Tournament bracket prediction show Texas A&M as an 11-seed facing 6-seed North Carolina in the first round."
},
{
"url": "https://www.bannersontheparkway.com/march-madness-2026/12303/2026-ncaa-tournament-south-preview",
"title": "2026 NCAA Tournament: South Preview | Banners On The Parkway",
"snippet": "The Aggies are top 50 in both three point rate and three point percentage, while also being top 30 in tempo. The style of play also means the ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/tamu/basketball/here-s-where-texas-a-m-basketball-stands-in-latest-ncaa-tournament-projections",
"title": "Here's Where Texas A&M Basketball Stands in Latest NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Diving into more of what Katz came up with in his bracket, the Aggies are going to be matched up against a No. 9 seed, which is UCLA as of now."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dv5EOR5cdsY",
"title": "Saint Mary's vs. Texas A&M PREDICTION | 2026 NCAA Tournament ...",
"snippet": "Blake Lovell and Max Barr preview Saint Mary's vs. Texas A&M in the 2026 NCAA Tournament first round game in the South Region and share ..."
},
{
"url": "https://247sports.com/article/texas-am-basketball-widely-predicted-as-10-seed-in-final-ncaa-tournament-projections-277777189/",
"title": "Texas A&M basketball widely predicted as 10 seed in final NCAA ...",
"snippet": "In his new NCAA Tournament projection Sunday morning, ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi predicted A&M to be a 10 seed facing No. 7 seed Saint ..."
}
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{
"url": "https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/more-colleges/2026/03/17/bold-predictions-for-michigan-michigan-state-in-ncaa-tournament-march-madness/89190908007/",
"title": "Bold predictions for Michigan and Michigan State in March Madness",
"snippet": "Here are three bold predictions as Michigan and Michigan State begin NCAA Tournament play this week in Buffalo."
},
{
"url": "https://spartanavenue.com/building-michigan-state-s-ideal-region-in-the-2026-ncaa-tournament-01kkqxy8q6ym",
"title": "Building Michigan State's ideal region in the 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Michigan State is entering Selection Sunday as a likely 2/3 seed. What would the Spartans' ideal NCAA Tournament region look like?"
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L7cQMvDpihk",
"title": "first impressions of Michigan State's 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket",
"snippet": "SpartanMag staffers Jim Comparoni and Paul Konyndyk check in from the Breslin Center to share their initial thoughts on Michigan State's ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/michigan-state-basketball-predictions-deep-090943435.html",
"title": "Michigan State basketball predictions, how deep in March Madness",
"snippet": "Michigan State basketball vs UCLA in 2026 Big Ten Tournament quarters. Michigan State forward Coen Carr (55) dunks against UCLA during the first ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/2026/03/15/michigan-msu-basketball-march-madness-bracket-ncaa-tournament/89169373007/",
"title": "March Madness experts react, predict Michigan and MSU basketball ...",
"snippet": "Here's what college basketball experts had to say, predicting Michigan and MSU's March Madness fate in the 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket."
}
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}assistantMessage 13
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Virginia Cavaliers 2026 NCAA tournament basketball preview"
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"query": "St Johns Red Storm 2026 NCAA tournament basketball Rick Pitino"
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"query": "2026 March Madness championship winner odds predictions"
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/predicting-dukes-full-ncaa-tournament-010001594.html",
"title": "Predicting Duke's Full NCAA Tournament Path - Yahoo Sports",
"snippet": "The Duke Blue Devils have earned the No. 1 overall seed in the 2026 NCAA Tournament and are officially the team to beat in the 68-team field."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/virginia/basketball/jay-bilas-predicts-a-surprising-early-exit-from-the-ncaa-tournament-for-virginia-01kkype9qrzw",
"title": "Jay Bilas Predicts a Surprising Early Exit From The NCAA ...",
"snippet": "1 Duke in the ACC Championship, the Cavaliers are heading to the Midwest Region as the No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/duke-virginia-odds-prediction-spread-time-2026-acc-tournament-championship-game-picks/",
"title": "Duke vs. Virginia odds, prediction: 2026 ACC Tournament ...",
"snippet": "Duke is the top seed in the ACC bracket, while Virginia is the No. 2. These teams met one other time this season as Duke dominated on its home ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.streakingthelawn.com/virginia-cavaliers-basketball/50598/virginia-cavaliers-basketball-postseason-outlook-fanduel-sportsbook-odds-bracketology-tournament-preview",
"title": "Virginia basketball postseason outlook: odds to win, rankings, seeding",
"snippet": "Virginia's recent NCAA Tournament history and 2026 odds. UVA is seeking its first win in an NCAA Tournament game since winning the 2019 ..."
},
{
"url": "https://ncsportsnetwork.com/march-madness-contender-virginia-2026-overview-10-year-snapshot/",
"title": "March Madness Contender: Virginia (2026 Overview, 10-Year ...",
"snippet": "Perhaps the most stunning aspect of the Cavaliers' 29-4 start and #10 national ranking this season is that all 10 rotation players (see below) from last year's ..."
}
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{
"url": "https://www.newsweek.com/sports/ncaa/st-johns-announces-rick-pitino-news-ahead-of-ncaa-tournament-11692450",
"title": "St. John's Announces Rick Pitino News Ahead of NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "St. John's Red Storm make big announcement regarding head coach Rick Pitino just days before the NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/14/sport/rick-pitino-st-johns-big-east-tournament",
"title": "At 73, Rick Pitino is pulling off another masterpiece in a career full of ...",
"snippet": "St. John's Red Storm head coach Rick Pitino looks on during the game between the Villanova University Wildcats and the St. John's Red Storm at ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.facebook.com/MarchMadnessMBB/posts/st-johns-goes-back-to-back-the-rick-pitino-era-keeps-the-momentum-going-as-the-j/1326426462853743/",
"title": "ST. JOHN'S GOES BACK-TO-BACK The Rick Pitino era keeps the ...",
"snippet": "John's Red Storm men's basketball, Pitino has revived the historic program and has them knocking on the door of something special in 2026."
},
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/video/clip/_/id/48222983",
"title": "Mad Dog: 'St. John's got absolutely, royally screwed' with 5-seed",
"snippet": "Rick Pitino: Our game vs. UConn was an epic battle · Joe Lunardi breaks down the St. John's Red Storm NCAA tournament prospects. 0:36. St."
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7118888/2026/03/14/st-johns-uconn-big-east-tournament/",
"title": "Rick Pitino and St. John's bring glory days back with Big East title ...",
"snippet": "Rick Pitino's Red Storm won all three games of their Big East tournament run by double-digits. Ishika Samant / Getty Images."
}
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/general/news/march-madness-2026-bracket-ncaa-tournament-picks-predictions-by-seasoned-college-basketball-model/",
"title": "March Madness 2026 bracket: NCAA Tournament picks, predictions ...",
"snippet": "SportsLine's model has nailed 25 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds and revealed its optimal NCAA Tournament bracket 2026."
},
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/48217692/espn-2026-ncaa-tournament-men-bracket-game-odds",
"title": "Odds, spreads and totals for every game of the first round - ESPN",
"snippet": "Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida are the four No. 1 seeds, and are heavy favorites to win their first round matchups."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/mens-college-basketball/betting/article/march-madness-2026-odds-picks-predictions-our-favorite-2026-ncaa-tournament-futures-bets-201303663.html",
"title": "Our favorite 2026 NCAA tournament futures bets - Yahoo Sports",
"snippet": "Our college basketball handicappers give a couple of their favorite value bets to win 2026 men's national championship."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/betting/2026-college-basketball-national-championship-odds-every-teams-odds-to-win-march-madness-01kksr09emyn",
"title": "Every Team's Odds to Win March Madness - Sports Illustrated",
"snippet": "March Madness Odds for Every Team · Duke +330 · Michigan +350 · Arizona +400 · Florida +700 · Houston +1000 · UConn +1700 · Illinois +1900 · Iowa State ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.covers.com/ncaab/march-madness/odds",
"title": "March Madness Odds 2026: Favorites to Win NCAA Men's Basketball",
"snippet": "A look at updated March Madness 2026 betting odds, with Duke (+325) listed as the favorite to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament."
}
]
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}assistantMessage 14
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMExcellent! I now have a very good picture of the tournament landscape. Let me do a few more searches to understand the other key matchups:
Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "UCLA Bruins UCF Knights 2026 NCAA tournament matchup"
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{
"query": "Nebraska Cornhuskers 2026 NCAA tournament basketball"
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{
"query": "BYU Cougars Texas Longhorns NC State 2026 NCAA tournament"
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401856496/ucf-ucla",
"title": "UCF vs. UCLA (Mar 20, 2026) Live Score - ESPN",
"snippet": "Live coverage of the UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/scouting-opponent-ucf-matches-ucla-172500246.html",
"title": "How UCF matches up with UCLA in NCAA Tournament - Yahoo Sports",
"snippet": "Here is what you need to know about the Bruins and the game as they take on the Knights: Record: UCLA is 23-11 (UCF is 21-11). Latest Line: UCLA ..."
},
{
"url": "https://nypost.com/2026/03/17/sports/ucla-mens-basketball-plays-ucf-first-round-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "UCLA men's basketball plays UCF first round NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "After three games in as many days, UCLA basketball and coach Mick Cronin will play UCF in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday."
},
{
"url": "https://www.news-journalonline.com/story/sports/college/ucf/2026/03/15/ucf-knights-ucla-bruins-march-madness-bracket-ncaa-tournament-2026/89140543007/",
"title": "UCF March Madness opponent is UCLA in 2026 NCAA bracket",
"snippet": "The Knights earned the No. 10 seed in the East Region, and they will meet UCLA in Philadelphia for the first round of the NCAA Tournament on ..."
},
{
"url": "https://uclawire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/ucla/mens-basketball/2026/03/16/uclas-first-round-matchup-has-more-experience-than-you-might-expect-college-basketball/89185440007/",
"title": "Yes, the East Region is loaded, but UCLA must solely focus on UCF",
"snippet": "The UCLA Bruins will have to travel across the country once again for the NCAA tournament. UCLA will face UCF on Friday in the first round."
}
]
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{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.on3.com/teams/nebraska-cornhuskers/news/nebraska-basketball-will-face-troy-to-open-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Nebraska basketball will face Troy to open 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "The 26-6 Huskers earned a No. 4 seed in the tournament and will face No. 13 Troy in the Round of 64 on Thursday in Oklahoma City. They also ..."
},
{
"url": "https://huskers.com/mbb-ncaatournament-2026",
"title": "2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament Central - Huskers.com",
"snippet": "The Huskers (26-6) are the No. 4 seed in the South Region and will travel to Oklahoma City for the First and Second Rounds of the NCAA Tournament at the Paycom ..."
},
{
"url": "https://cornhuskerswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/cornhuskers/football/2026/03/15/nebraska-basketball-ncaa-tournament-selection-sunday-march-madnes-bracket-release/89171466007/",
"title": "Nebraska to play this Sun Belt team in first round of NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "4 seed and have been sent to the South Region. The Huskers will play the No. 13 Troy Trojans in the first round of the 2026 NCAA Tournament."
},
{
"url": "https://hurrdatsports.com/hailvarsity/mens-basketball/nebraska-mens-basketball-earns-no-xx-seed-in-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Nebraska Men's Basketball Earns No. 4 Seed In 2026 NCAA ...",
"snippet": "It's official, Nebraska men's basketball earned a No. 4 seed in the 2026 NCAA Tournament. The Huskers will face the Sun Belt Champion, Troy, ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/nebraska/basketball/predicting-nebrasketball-s-full-ncaa-tournament-path-is-a-final-four-run-possible-2026",
"title": "Predicting Nebrasketball's Full NCAA Tournament Path: Is a Final ...",
"snippet": "The Huskers, the No. 4 seed in the South Region, will take on Troy on Thursday in Oklahoma City. Joining them in OKC are (5) Vanderbilt) and (12) ..."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.sltrib.com/sports/byu-cougars/2026/03/15/byu-basketball-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "BYU basketball in NCAA Tournament: Texas or NC State awaits ...",
"snippet": "If the Cougars get past the Longhorns or the Wolfpack, they'll play the winner of the Gonzaga-Kennesaw State matchup on Saturday. First Four ..."
},
{
"url": "https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/texas-beats-nc-state-first-041338551.html",
"title": "Texas Beats NC State in First Four, Draws BYU - Yahoo Sports",
"snippet": "The Longhorns nearly blew it, but Texas beat NC State 68-66 Tuesday night in the First Four and will play BYU Thursday. Texas led 62-53 with ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.deseret.com/sports/2026/03/17/byu-basketball-first-round-opponent-portland-ncaa-big-dance-bid/",
"title": "BYU will face Texas in NCAA Tournament first-round game",
"snippet": "Longhorns advanced to face Cougars and AJ Dybantsa with a close First Four win over North Carolina State on Tuesday night · Recommended For You."
},
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401856484/texas-byu",
"title": "Texas vs. BYU (Mar 19, 2026) Live Score - ESPN",
"snippet": "Live coverage of the Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats."
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/live-blogs/march-madness-2026-mens-first-four-live-updates-scores-results-bracket/FaqP8tALRmPJ/qUrhwdrnhidN/",
"title": "NC State or Texas a bigger threat to BYU? - The Athletic",
"snippet": "Men's March Madness 2026 First Four score, live updates: Texas leads NC State at halftime; Howard holds off UMBC · Men's March Madness — Latest."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 15
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMThis is very helpful - Texas beat NC State in the First Four. Let me check on a few more key matchups:
Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Howard UMBC 2026 First Four NCAA tournament result"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "SMU Miami Ohio 2026 First Four NCAA tournament result"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Lehigh Prairie View 2026 First Four NCAA tournament result"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/48235503/howard-holds-umbc-first-four-first-ncaa-tournament-win",
"title": "Howard holds off UMBC in First Four for first NCAA ...",
"snippet": "Howard held off a late surge from UMBC to earn the first NCAA tournament victory in program history, an 86-83 decision in the First Four on ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/live-blogs/march-madness-2026-mens-first-four-live-updates-scores-results-bracket/FaqP8tALRmPJ/",
"title": "Men's March Madness 2026 First Four score, live updates",
"snippet": "Last night's games saw (16) Howard hold off (16) UMBC by three points before (11) Texas edged (11) NC State by two. Tonight's contests feature ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/mar/18/howard-first-ncaa-tournament-win-texas-nc-state-first-four",
"title": "Howard hold off UMBC in First Four for school's first ever ...",
"snippet": "Howard earn first NCAA win with late heroics as Texas edge NC State on a buzzer-beater in a dramatic First Four doubleheader in Dayton."
},
{
"url": "https://www.ncaa.com/video/basketball-men/2026-03-17/final-2-minutes-howard-umbc-kicks-2026-march-madness-intense-finish",
"title": "Howard-UMBC kicks off 2026 March Madness with intense ...",
"snippet": "FULL FINISH: Texas hits game winner to hold off NC State in First Four battle. March 18, 2026. 9:51. DI Men's Basketball. Texas vs."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6diwZNv6P0",
"title": "UMBC vs Howard - FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS 😱 First Four",
"snippet": "Live Games on TNT/TruTV/TBS/CBS UMBC vs Howard full game highlights from the First Four of the 2026 NCAA March Madness tournament."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401856436/miami-oh-smu",
"title": "Miami (OH) vs. SMU (Mar 18, 2026) Live Score",
"snippet": "Live coverage of the Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. SMU Mustangs NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats."
},
{
"url": "https://www.foxsports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament-first-4-miami-oh-redhawks-vs-smu-mustangs-mar-18-2026-game-boxscore-264060",
"title": "Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. SMU Mustangs - Live Score",
"snippet": "A bet of $100 would win $343 total if Miami (OH) wins and a bet of $321 would win $421 total if SMU wins. +243. M-OH. -321. SMU."
},
{
"url": "https://smumustangs.com/news/2026/3/16/mens-basketball-ncaa-first-four-no-11-smu-vs-no-11-miami-oh-wednesday-8-10pm-ct.aspx",
"title": "NCAA First Four: No. 11 SMU vs No. 11 Miami (OH)",
"snippet": "No. 11 SMU (20-13) vs No. 11 Miami (OH) (31-1) NCAA Tournament – First Four UD Arena – Dayton, Ohio Wednesday, March 18, 2026 – 9:10 p.m. ET ..."
},
{
"url": "https://apnews.com/article/southern-methodist-mustangs-miami-redhawks-college-sports-ohio-college-basketball-874d1538805a4c95a2eaf0e8f709757c",
"title": "SMU Mustangs and Miami (OH) RedHawks square off in ...",
"snippet": "Miami (OH) RedHawks (31-1, 18-1 MAC) vs. SMU Mustangs (20-13, 9-11 ACC). Dayton, Ohio; Wednesday, 9:15 p.m. EDT."
},
{
"url": "https://miamiredhawks.com/news/2026/3/15/mens-basketball-miami-ncaa-tournament-selection-sunday",
"title": "RedHawks Are Dancing! 31-1 Miami Earns At-Large Bid to ...",
"snippet": "The RedHawks, who went undefeated during the regular season and boast a 31-1 overall record, will open tournament play in the First Four against ..."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401856437/lehigh-prairie-view",
"title": "Lehigh vs. Prairie View A&M (Mar 18, 2026) Live Score - ESPN",
"snippet": "Live coverage of the Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats."
},
{
"url": "https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/gametracker/preview/NCAAB_20260318_PVAM@LEHIGH/",
"title": "Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks Live Score ...",
"snippet": "Prairie View A&M Panthers and Lehigh Mountain Hawks reached the NCAA Tournament ... first NCAA Tournament win. \"This will be a comprehensive, all- ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.foxsports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament-first-4-prairie-view-am-panthers-vs-lehigh-mountain-hawks-mar-18-2026-game-boxscore-264059",
"title": "2025-26 NCAA Tournament - First Four: Mar 18, 2026 - FOX Sports",
"snippet": "A bet of $100 would win $232 total if Prairie View A&M wins and a bet of $163 would win $263 total if Lehigh wins."
},
{
"url": "https://www.weny.com/sports/national/lehigh-plays-prairie-view-a-m-in-first-4-matchup/article_a0ef43aa-d043-5b89-a69b-24776c3e3f47.html",
"title": "Lehigh plays Prairie View A&M in First 4 matchup - weny.com",
"snippet": "BOTTOM LINE: Lehigh and Prairie View A&M play in the NCAA Tournament First Four round. The Mountain Hawks are 14-7 against Patriot League ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.espn.com.au/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401856437/lehigh-prairie-view",
"title": "Prairie View A&M vs. Lehigh (18 Mar, 2026) Live Score - ESPN (AU)",
"snippet": "Live coverage of the Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks NCAAM game on ESPN (AU), including live score, highlights and updated stats."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 16
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMThe First Four games are happening tonight (March 18) for SMU vs Miami (OH) and Lehigh vs Prairie View. Texas already beat NC State, and Howard beat UMBC. Let me get the current status and then verify some game matchups:
Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-1"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-13"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-17"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-25"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-29"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "duke-blue-devils",
"name": "Blue Devils",
"seed": 1,
"region": "east"
},
"team2": {
"id": "siena-saints",
"name": "Saints",
"seed": 16,
"region": "east"
},
"gameId": "game-1"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "byu-cougars",
"name": "Cougars",
"seed": 6,
"region": "west"
},
"team2": {
"id": "texas-longhorns",
"name": "Longhorns",
"seed": 11,
"region": "west"
},
"gameId": "game-13",
"team2Alt": {
"id": "nc-state-wolfpack",
"name": "Wolfpack",
"seed": 11,
"region": "west"
}
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "florida-gators",
"name": "Gators",
"seed": 1,
"region": "south"
},
"team2": {
"id": "prairie-view-am-panthers",
"name": "Panthers",
"seed": 16,
"region": "south"
},
"gameId": "game-17",
"team2Alt": {
"id": "lehigh-mountain-hawks",
"name": "Mountain Hawks",
"seed": 16,
"region": "south"
}
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "michigan-wolverines",
"name": "Wolverines",
"seed": 1,
"region": "midwest"
},
"team2": {
"id": "umbc-retrievers",
"name": "Retrievers",
"seed": 16,
"region": "midwest"
},
"gameId": "game-25",
"team2Alt": {
"id": "howard-bison",
"name": "Bison",
"seed": 16,
"region": "midwest"
}
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "tennessee-volunteers",
"name": "Volunteers",
"seed": 6,
"region": "midwest"
},
"team2": {
"id": "smu-mustangs",
"name": "Mustangs",
"seed": 11,
"region": "midwest"
},
"gameId": "game-29",
"team2Alt": {
"id": "miami-oh-redhawks",
"name": "RedHawks",
"seed": 11,
"region": "midwest"
}
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 17
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMNow I have all the information I need. Let me compile my research findings and build the bracket:
## Key Research Findings:
**#1 Seeds:**
- Duke (32-2) - Overall #1, KenPom #1, NET #1, Cameron Boozer is the star. Has injury concerns (Caleb Foster, Patrick Ngongba II missed ACC tournament)
- Arizona (32-2) - KenPom #2, NET #3, strong rebounding, but concerns with 3PT shooting and FTs
- Florida (31-3) - Defending champion, weakest #1 seed (+650 odds vs Duke +330). Poor 3PT shooting (30.8%), high turnovers
- Michigan (31-3) - Strong team, #1 in Midwest
**Key Injuries:**
- Texas Tech: JT Toppin (star) - torn ACL, OUT FOR SEASON
- North Carolina: Caleb Wilson (star) - broken thumb, OUT FOR SEASON
- Duke: Caleb Foster, Patrick Ngongba II missed ACC Tournament (may return)
**Top Upset Picks (from experts):**
- Santa Clara over Kentucky (80% of experts picked this!)
- VCU over North Carolina (70% of experts - UNC without Caleb Wilson)
- South Florida over Louisville (60% of experts)
- Akron over Texas Tech (Texas Tech without Toppin)
- McNeese over Vanderbilt (Cinderella team)
- UNI over St. John's (slow tempo vs fast tempo)
- Missouri over Miami (home court advantage in St. Louis)
- Wright State over Virginia (bold pick)
**First Four Results:**
- Texas beat NC State
- Howard beat UMBC
- SMU vs Miami (OH) - Tonight (Miami OH is 31-1!)
- Lehigh vs Prairie View A&M - Tonight
**Cinderella Teams:**
- VCU (11 seed, South)
- Santa Clara (10 seed, Midwest)
- Akron (12 seed, Midwest)
- McNeese (12 seed, South)
- Hofstra (13 seed, Midwest)
- Miami (OH) if they win First Four (31-1 record!)
**Championship Odds:**
- Duke +330
- Michigan +350
- Arizona +400
- Florida +700
- Houston +1000
- UConn +1700
- Illinois +1900
- Iowa State +2000
Now let me build my bracket:
Tool Call: lookup_team
{
"query": "South Florida"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_team
{
"query": "Northern Iowa"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_team
{
"query": "High Point"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_team
{
"matches": [
{
"id": "south-florida-bulls",
"name": "Bulls",
"seed": 11,
"region": "east"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_team
{
"matches": [
{
"id": "northern-iowa-panthers",
"name": "Panthers",
"seed": 12,
"region": "east"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_team
{
"matches": [
{
"id": "high-point-panthers",
"name": "Panthers",
"seed": 12,
"region": "west"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 18
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMTool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-5"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-3"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-11"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "louisville-cardinals",
"name": "Cardinals",
"seed": 6,
"region": "east"
},
"team2": {
"id": "south-florida-bulls",
"name": "Bulls",
"seed": 11,
"region": "east"
},
"gameId": "game-5"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "st-johns-red-storm",
"name": "Red Storm",
"seed": 5,
"region": "east"
},
"team2": {
"id": "northern-iowa-panthers",
"name": "Panthers",
"seed": 12,
"region": "east"
},
"gameId": "game-3"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "wisconsin-badgers",
"name": "Badgers",
"seed": 5,
"region": "west"
},
"team2": {
"id": "high-point-panthers",
"name": "Panthers",
"seed": 12,
"region": "west"
},
"gameId": "game-11"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 19
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMLet me verify a few more games and then build my bracket:
Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-27"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-31"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-21"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Call: lookup_game
{
"gameId": "game-19"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "texas-tech-red-raiders",
"name": "Red Raiders",
"seed": 5,
"region": "midwest"
},
"team2": {
"id": "akron-zips",
"name": "Zips",
"seed": 12,
"region": "midwest"
},
"gameId": "game-27"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "kentucky-wildcats",
"name": "Wildcats",
"seed": 7,
"region": "midwest"
},
"team2": {
"id": "santa-clara-broncos",
"name": "Broncos",
"seed": 10,
"region": "midwest"
},
"gameId": "game-31"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "north-carolina-tar-heels",
"name": "Tar Heels",
"seed": 6,
"region": "south"
},
"team2": {
"id": "vcu-rams",
"name": "Rams",
"seed": 11,
"region": "south"
},
"gameId": "game-21"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: lookup_game
{
"game": {
"team1": {
"id": "vanderbilt-commodores",
"name": "Commodores",
"seed": 5,
"region": "south"
},
"team2": {
"id": "mcneese-cowboys",
"name": "Cowboys",
"seed": 12,
"region": "south"
},
"gameId": "game-19"
}
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 20
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMNow I have all the information I need. Let me build my bracket systematically:
Tool Call: validate_bracket
{
"r1": [
{
"gameId": "game-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "game-2",
"winnerId": "ohio-state-buckeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-3",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "game-4",
"winnerId": "kansas-jayhawks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-5",
"winnerId": "south-florida-bulls"
},
{
"gameId": "game-6",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "game-7",
"winnerId": "ucf-knights"
},
{
"gameId": "game-8",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-9",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "game-10",
"winnerId": "utah-state-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-11",
"winnerId": "wisconsin-badgers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-12",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-13",
"winnerId": "texas-longhorns"
},
{
"gameId": "game-14",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "game-15",
"winnerId": "missouri-tigers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-16",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-17",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "game-18",
"winnerId": "iowa-hawkeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-19",
"winnerId": "mcneese-cowboys"
},
{
"gameId": "game-20",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-21",
"winnerId": "vcu-rams"
},
{
"gameId": "game-22",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "game-23",
"winnerId": "texas-am-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-24",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "game-25",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "game-26",
"winnerId": "saint-louis-billikens"
},
{
"gameId": "game-27",
"winnerId": "akron-zips"
},
{
"gameId": "game-28",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "game-29",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-30",
"winnerId": "virginia-cavaliers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-31",
"winnerId": "santa-clara-broncos"
},
{
"gameId": "game-32",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r2": [
{
"gameId": "r32-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-2",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-3",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-4",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-2",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-3",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-4",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-2",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-3",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-4",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-3",
"winnerId": "virginia-cavaliers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-4",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r3": [
{
"gameId": "s16-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-east-2",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-2",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r4": [
{
"gameId": "e8-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-south-1",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
}
],
"r5": [
{
"gameId": "ff-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "ff-2",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
}
],
"r6": [
{
"gameId": "champ-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: validate_bracket
{
"valid": true
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 21
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMThe bracket is valid. Let me review my picks before submitting to make sure I'm happy with them:
**My Upset Picks:**
- Round 1 Upsets:
- South Florida (11) over Louisville (6) - 60% of experts picked this
- UCF (10) over UCLA (7)
- Utah State (9) over Villanova (8) - 9 seeds win 52% of the time
- Texas (11) over BYU (6) - Texas beat NC State in First Four
- Missouri (10) over Miami (7) - Missouri plays at home in St. Louis
- Iowa (9) over Clemson (8)
- McNeese (12) over Vanderbilt (5) - Popular Cinderella pick
- VCU (11) over UNC (6) - UNC without Caleb Wilson, 70% of experts picked this
- Texas A&M (10) over Saint Mary's (7)
- Saint Louis (9) over Georgia (8)
- Akron (12) over Texas Tech (5) - Texas Tech without JT Toppin
- Santa Clara (10) over Kentucky (7) - 80% of experts picked this!
That's quite a few upsets but they're all well-researched. Let me also double-check I haven't been too chalk in later rounds. Let me reconsider some of my later picks to ensure I have an edge.
Let me revise some picks to be more aggressive with some of the Cinderellas making deeper runs:
Tool Call: validate_bracket
{
"r1": [
{
"gameId": "game-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "game-2",
"winnerId": "ohio-state-buckeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-3",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "game-4",
"winnerId": "kansas-jayhawks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-5",
"winnerId": "south-florida-bulls"
},
{
"gameId": "game-6",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "game-7",
"winnerId": "ucf-knights"
},
{
"gameId": "game-8",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-9",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "game-10",
"winnerId": "utah-state-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-11",
"winnerId": "wisconsin-badgers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-12",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-13",
"winnerId": "texas-longhorns"
},
{
"gameId": "game-14",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "game-15",
"winnerId": "missouri-tigers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-16",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-17",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "game-18",
"winnerId": "iowa-hawkeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-19",
"winnerId": "mcneese-cowboys"
},
{
"gameId": "game-20",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-21",
"winnerId": "vcu-rams"
},
{
"gameId": "game-22",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "game-23",
"winnerId": "texas-am-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-24",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "game-25",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "game-26",
"winnerId": "saint-louis-billikens"
},
{
"gameId": "game-27",
"winnerId": "akron-zips"
},
{
"gameId": "game-28",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "game-29",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-30",
"winnerId": "virginia-cavaliers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-31",
"winnerId": "santa-clara-broncos"
},
{
"gameId": "game-32",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r2": [
{
"gameId": "r32-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-2",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-3",
"winnerId": "south-florida-bulls"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-4",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-2",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-3",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-4",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-2",
"winnerId": "mcneese-cowboys"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-3",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-4",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-3",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-4",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r3": [
{
"gameId": "s16-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-east-2",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-2",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r4": [
{
"gameId": "e8-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-south-1",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
}
],
"r5": [
{
"gameId": "ff-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "ff-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
}
],
"r6": [
{
"gameId": "champ-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: validate_bracket
{
"valid": true
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 22
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMWait, I need to reconsider some of my R2 picks. Let me trace through the bracket more carefully:
- R32-east-3 should be winner of game-5 vs game-6 = South Florida vs Michigan State. I picked South Florida to win R1 (game-5), so this makes sense.
- R32-midwest-3 should be winner of game-29 vs game-30 = Tennessee vs Virginia. I picked Tennessee (game-29) and Virginia (game-30), so the R32 winner should be one of those. I picked Tennessee - good.
Actually, let me reconsider some picks. I want to take more risk to differentiate myself. Let me look at having Houston go further since they have elite defense. And let me reconsider a few more upsets:
Tool Call: web_search
{
"query": "Houston Cougars 2026 defense elite Kelvin Sampson championship contender"
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: web_search
{
"results": [
{
"url": "https://247sports.com/article/houston-basketball-named-no-2-seed-in-the-ncaa-tournament-play-no-15-idaho-in-oklahoma-city-277941663/",
"title": "Houston basketball named No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament ...",
"snippet": "The Houston Cougars are in the NCAA Tournament for the eighth straight year under head coach Kelvin Sampson. The No. 2 seeded Coogs will take on No. 15 seed ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.facebook.com/cw39houston/posts/no-2-seed-houston-opens-the-2026-ncaa-tournament-thursday-night-against-no-15-id/1488519806203760/",
"title": "No. 2 seed Houston opens the 2026 NCAA Tournament Thursday ...",
"snippet": "No. 2 seed Houston opens the 2026 NCAA Tournament Thursday night against No. 15 Idaho. Head coach Kelvin Sampson says the Cougars' approach ..."
},
{
"url": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtEOFgndt8E",
"title": "Houston Cougars head coach Kelvin Sampson reacts to ... - YouTube",
"snippet": "Check out what Houston Cougars head coach Kelvin Sampson said about the 2026 NCAA Tournament seeding. #gocoogs #collegebasketball #big12."
},
{
"url": "https://www.si.com/college/kansas/basketball/houston-hc-kelvin-sampson-labels-kansas-jayhawks-national-title-contender",
"title": "Houston HC Kelvin Sampson Labels Kansas a National Title ...",
"snippet": "Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson thinks Kansas could be one of the teams cutting the nets in Indianapolis this year."
},
{
"url": "https://nationaltoday.com/us/tx/houston/news/2026/03/16/houston-cougars-poised-to-win-2026-ncaa-tournament/",
"title": "Houston Cougars Poised to Win 2026 NCAA Tournament",
"snippet": "Led by head coach Kelvin Sampson, Houston boasts a suffocating defense that ranks 5th nationally in adjusted efficiency, allowing just 62.9 ..."
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 23
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMHouston has the #5 nationally ranked defense and Kelvin Sampson is an elite tournament coach. Let me refine my bracket a bit more. Given the research:
- Duke is the overall favorite (+330) and has Cameron Boozer
- Houston has elite defense and tournament experience with Sampson
- Florida is the defending champion but has weaknesses (turnovers, 3pt shooting)
- Michigan is strong but I think Houston's defense will be the difference
Let me also reconsider giving McNeese a deeper run - they're on a 10-game win streak and experts like them.
Actually, I need to check if my McNeese pick advancing past Nebraska works logically. McNeese (12) beats Vanderbilt (5), then would play Nebraska (4) in Round 32. That's reasonable.
Let me finalize my bracket with some thoughtful differentiation:
Tool Call: validate_bracket
{
"r1": [
{
"gameId": "game-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "game-2",
"winnerId": "ohio-state-buckeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-3",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "game-4",
"winnerId": "kansas-jayhawks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-5",
"winnerId": "south-florida-bulls"
},
{
"gameId": "game-6",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "game-7",
"winnerId": "ucf-knights"
},
{
"gameId": "game-8",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-9",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "game-10",
"winnerId": "utah-state-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-11",
"winnerId": "wisconsin-badgers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-12",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-13",
"winnerId": "texas-longhorns"
},
{
"gameId": "game-14",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "game-15",
"winnerId": "missouri-tigers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-16",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-17",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "game-18",
"winnerId": "iowa-hawkeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-19",
"winnerId": "mcneese-cowboys"
},
{
"gameId": "game-20",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-21",
"winnerId": "vcu-rams"
},
{
"gameId": "game-22",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "game-23",
"winnerId": "texas-am-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-24",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "game-25",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "game-26",
"winnerId": "saint-louis-billikens"
},
{
"gameId": "game-27",
"winnerId": "akron-zips"
},
{
"gameId": "game-28",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "game-29",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-30",
"winnerId": "virginia-cavaliers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-31",
"winnerId": "santa-clara-broncos"
},
{
"gameId": "game-32",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r2": [
{
"gameId": "r32-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-2",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-3",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-4",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-2",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-3",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-4",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-2",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-3",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-4",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-3",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-4",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r3": [
{
"gameId": "s16-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-east-2",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-2",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r4": [
{
"gameId": "e8-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-south-1",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
}
],
"r5": [
{
"gameId": "ff-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "ff-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
}
],
"r6": [
{
"gameId": "champ-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
}
]
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: validate_bracket
{
"valid": true
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}assistantMessage 24
Mar 18, 2026, 10:37 PMThe bracket is valid. Let me review it once more and make sure I'm happy with the balance of risk and reward:
**EAST REGION:**
- R1 Upsets: South Florida over Louisville (11 vs 6), UCF over UCLA (10 vs 7)
- Sweet 16: Duke vs St. John's, Michigan State vs UConn
- Elite 8: Duke vs UConn
- Regional Champ: Duke
**WEST REGION:**
- R1 Upsets: Utah State over Villanova (9 vs 8), Texas over BYU (11 vs 6), Missouri over Miami (10 vs 7)
- Sweet 16: Arizona vs Arkansas, Gonzaga vs Purdue
- Elite 8: Arizona vs Gonzaga
- Regional Champ: Arizona
**SOUTH REGION:**
- R1 Upsets: Iowa over Clemson (9 vs 8), McNeese over Vanderbilt (12 vs 5), VCU over UNC (11 vs 6), Texas A&M over Saint Mary's (10 vs 7)
- Sweet 16: Florida vs Nebraska, Illinois vs Houston
- Elite 8: Florida vs Houston
- Regional Champ: Houston (upset over defending champ Florida!)
**MIDWEST REGION:**
- R1 Upsets: Saint Louis over Georgia (9 vs 8), Akron over Texas Tech (12 vs 5), Santa Clara over Kentucky (10 vs 7)
- Sweet 16: Michigan vs Alabama, Tennessee vs Iowa State
- Elite 8: Michigan vs Iowa State
- Regional Champ: Michigan
**FINAL FOUR:**
- Duke vs Arizona → Duke
- Houston vs Michigan → Houston
**CHAMPIONSHIP:** Duke over Houston
This feels like a good bracket with calculated upsets. I have:
- 12 R1 upsets (about right for the chaos of March)
- Houston going to the Final Four as my major differentiation pick (upset over Florida and Michigan/Iowa State)
- Duke as champion (favorite)
Let me submit this bracket:
Tool Call: submit_bracket
{
"r1": [
{
"gameId": "game-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "game-2",
"winnerId": "ohio-state-buckeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-3",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "game-4",
"winnerId": "kansas-jayhawks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-5",
"winnerId": "south-florida-bulls"
},
{
"gameId": "game-6",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "game-7",
"winnerId": "ucf-knights"
},
{
"gameId": "game-8",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-9",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "game-10",
"winnerId": "utah-state-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-11",
"winnerId": "wisconsin-badgers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-12",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "game-13",
"winnerId": "texas-longhorns"
},
{
"gameId": "game-14",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "game-15",
"winnerId": "missouri-tigers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-16",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-17",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "game-18",
"winnerId": "iowa-hawkeyes"
},
{
"gameId": "game-19",
"winnerId": "mcneese-cowboys"
},
{
"gameId": "game-20",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-21",
"winnerId": "vcu-rams"
},
{
"gameId": "game-22",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "game-23",
"winnerId": "texas-am-aggies"
},
{
"gameId": "game-24",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "game-25",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "game-26",
"winnerId": "saint-louis-billikens"
},
{
"gameId": "game-27",
"winnerId": "akron-zips"
},
{
"gameId": "game-28",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "game-29",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-30",
"winnerId": "virginia-cavaliers"
},
{
"gameId": "game-31",
"winnerId": "santa-clara-broncos"
},
{
"gameId": "game-32",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r2": [
{
"gameId": "r32-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-2",
"winnerId": "st-johns-red-storm"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-3",
"winnerId": "michigan-state-spartans"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-east-4",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-2",
"winnerId": "arkansas-razorbacks"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-3",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-west-4",
"winnerId": "purdue-boilermakers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-2",
"winnerId": "nebraska-cornhuskers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-3",
"winnerId": "illinois-fighting-illini"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-south-4",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "alabama-crimson-tide"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-3",
"winnerId": "tennessee-volunteers"
},
{
"gameId": "r32-midwest-4",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r3": [
{
"gameId": "s16-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-east-2",
"winnerId": "uconn-huskies"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-west-2",
"winnerId": "gonzaga-bulldogs"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-1",
"winnerId": "florida-gators"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-south-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
},
{
"gameId": "s16-midwest-2",
"winnerId": "iowa-state-cyclones"
}
],
"r4": [
{
"gameId": "e8-east-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-west-1",
"winnerId": "arizona-wildcats"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-south-1",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
},
{
"gameId": "e8-midwest-1",
"winnerId": "michigan-wolverines"
}
],
"r5": [
{
"gameId": "ff-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
},
{
"gameId": "ff-2",
"winnerId": "houston-cougars"
}
],
"r6": [
{
"gameId": "champ-1",
"winnerId": "duke-blue-devils"
}
],
"tiebreakerScore": 142
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tool Result: submit_bracket
{
"submitted": true
}Provider Metadata
{
"anthropic": {
"caller": {
"type": "direct"
}
}
}Tokens
- Input
- 755506
- Output
- 11543
- Reasoning
- —